TOLU (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28300. 80 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 16607.23037 / (1 + e^(-0.22721(t - 35.68794))) | 16607.23037 | 0.22721 | 35.68794 | 0.99951 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 12633.13368 / (1 + e^(-0.22723(t - 35.42141))) | 12633.13368 | 0.22723 | 35.42141 | 0.99950 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3770.28960 / (1 + e^(-0.22791(t - 36.61952))) | 3770.28960 | 0.22791 | 36.61952 | 0.99944 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 102.90908 / (1 + e^(-0.26214(t - 34.48643))) | 102.90908 | 0.26214 | 34.48643 | 0.99938 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 86.91296 / (1 + e^(-0.24156(t - 34.95028))) | 86.91296 | 0.24156 | 34.95028 | 0.99888 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.98425 / (1 + e^(-0.25283(t - 37.05452))) | 13.98425 | 0.25283 | 37.05452 | 0.99221 |
| Validos | y(t) = 16506.32997 / (1 + e^(-0.22713(t - 35.69048))) | 16506.32997 | 0.22713 | 35.69048 | 0.99951 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 79.98860 / (1 + e^(-0.20166(t - 34.36591))) | 79.98860 | 0.20166 | 34.36591 | 0.99955 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 41 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.0% | 164 | 139 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.0% | 494 | 423 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 493 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 19.9% | 3,300 | 2,653 | 608 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 3,283 | 22 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 40.5% | 6,727 | 5,305 | 1,329 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 6,681 | 37 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 68.5% | 11,384 | 8,791 | 2,440 | 80 | 63 | 10 | 11,311 | 58 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.7% | 14,248 | 10,927 | 3,141 | 95 | 75 | 10 | 14,163 | 70 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.4% | 15,849 | 12,121 | 3,534 | 97 | 84 | 13 | 15,752 | 77 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.6% | 16,064 | 12,278 | 3,585 | 102 | 85 | 14 | 15,965 | 78 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.4% | 16,349 | 12,425 | 3,722 | 102 | 86 | 14 | 16,249 | 79 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.4% | 16,349 | 12,425 | 3,722 | 102 | 86 | 14 | 16,249 | 79 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 16,621 | 12,643 | 3,774 | 103 | 87 | 14 | 16,520 | 80 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex