MORROA (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28080. 50 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10477.47092 / (1 + e^(-0.19923(t - 36.59095))) | 10477.47092 | 0.19923 | 36.59095 | 0.99953 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6661.68942 / (1 + e^(-0.19983(t - 36.62618))) | 6661.68942 | 0.19983 | 36.62618 | 0.99951 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3672.96057 / (1 + e^(-0.19832(t - 36.52519))) | 3672.96057 | 0.19832 | 36.52519 | 0.99947 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 79.93216 / (1 + e^(-0.18050(t - 36.36327))) | 79.93216 | 0.18050 | 36.36327 | 0.99860 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 51.91779 / (1 + e^(-0.21216(t - 36.22813))) | 51.91779 | 0.21216 | 36.22813 | 0.99869 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.97940 / (1 + e^(-0.22298(t - 40.00911))) | 10.97940 | 0.22298 | 40.00911 | 0.99473 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10414.57022 / (1 + e^(-0.19916(t - 36.58881))) | 10414.57022 | 0.19916 | 36.58881 | 0.99953 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 49.99603 / (1 + e^(-0.18353(t - 35.01160))) | 49.99603 | 0.18353 | 35.01160 | 0.99954 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 31 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 83 | 52 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.3% | 865 | 522 | 328 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 861 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 18.1% | 1,897 | 1,162 | 712 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1,888 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 36.6% | 3,835 | 2,467 | 1,315 | 32 | 19 | 2 | 3,814 | 22 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 64.1% | 6,718 | 4,260 | 2,366 | 51 | 35 | 6 | 6,677 | 35 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.4% | 8,219 | 5,204 | 2,901 | 63 | 44 | 7 | 8,168 | 41 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.8% | 9,832 | 6,253 | 3,449 | 73 | 47 | 10 | 9,775 | 47 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.3% | 10,093 | 6,408 | 3,552 | 75 | 48 | 10 | 10,035 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.7% | 10,243 | 6,512 | 3,596 | 75 | 50 | 10 | 10,183 | 49 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,479 | 6,663 | 3,673 | 80 | 52 | 11 | 10,416 | 50 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex