SINCELEJO (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28001. 631 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 146099.86822 / (1 + e^(-0.17498(t - 43.51090))) | 146099.86822 | 0.17498 | 43.51090 | 0.99967 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 89549.51261 / (1 + e^(-0.17752(t - 43.29199))) | 89549.51261 | 0.17752 | 43.29199 | 0.99968 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 53853.89992 / (1 + e^(-0.17092(t - 43.89859))) | 53853.89992 | 0.17092 | 43.89859 | 0.99966 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 1651.08570 / (1 + e^(-0.17907(t - 42.89307))) | 1651.08570 | 0.17907 | 42.89307 | 0.99975 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 891.91320 / (1 + e^(-0.17035(t - 43.81094))) | 891.91320 | 0.17035 | 43.81094 | 0.99953 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 154.94751 / (1 + e^(-0.17655(t - 43.35169))) | 154.94751 | 0.17655 | 43.35169 | 0.99928 |
| Validos | y(t) = 145053.01306 / (1 + e^(-0.17501(t - 43.50925))) | 145053.01306 | 0.17501 | 43.50925 | 0.99968 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 630.99421 / (1 + e^(-0.17320(t - 42.62732))) | 630.99421 | 0.17320 | 42.62732 | 0.99977 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 32 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.7% | 1,040 | 665 | 356 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1,033 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.7% | 6,922 | 4,278 | 2,499 | 104 | 36 | 5 | 6,881 | 44 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 16.5% | 24,179 | 15,111 | 8,597 | 294 | 150 | 27 | 24,002 | 121 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 33.0% | 48,170 | 30,176 | 17,073 | 575 | 292 | 54 | 47,824 | 230 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 52.1% | 76,157 | 47,238 | 27,484 | 899 | 457 | 79 | 75,621 | 349 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.2% | 105,488 | 65,581 | 37,954 | 1,221 | 618 | 114 | 104,756 | 472 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.5% | 124,868 | 77,406 | 45,114 | 1,456 | 758 | 134 | 123,976 | 551 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.5% | 135,218 | 83,344 | 49,348 | 1,560 | 823 | 143 | 134,252 | 592 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.4% | 142,292 | 87,466 | 52,189 | 1,621 | 864 | 152 | 141,276 | 618 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.9% | 144,546 | 88,776 | 53,099 | 1,638 | 880 | 153 | 143,513 | 626 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.6% | 145,492 | 89,250 | 53,556 | 1,645 | 888 | 153 | 144,451 | 629 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 146,127 | 89,562 | 53,867 | 1,651 | 892 | 155 | 145,080 | 631 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex