SAN MARCOS (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28200. 146 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 26684.09335 / (1 + e^(-0.23337(t - 31.66002))) | 26684.09335 | 0.23337 | 31.66002 | 0.99908 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 15097.19421 / (1 + e^(-0.23147(t - 31.79558))) | 15097.19421 | 0.23147 | 31.79558 | 0.99907 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 11182.06267 / (1 + e^(-0.23655(t - 31.52666))) | 11182.06267 | 0.23655 | 31.52666 | 0.99907 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 228.92854 / (1 + e^(-0.23879(t - 29.87973))) | 228.92854 | 0.23879 | 29.87973 | 0.99905 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 128.96628 / (1 + e^(-0.20880(t - 30.41889))) | 128.96628 | 0.20880 | 30.41889 | 0.99886 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 46.99557 / (1 + e^(-0.21595(t - 32.46286))) | 46.99557 | 0.21595 | 32.46286 | 0.99970 |
| Validos | y(t) = 26508.12621 / (1 + e^(-0.23356(t - 31.66448))) | 26508.12621 | 0.23356 | 31.66448 | 0.99908 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 146.02683 / (1 + e^(-0.21905(t - 30.10822))) | 146.02683 | 0.21905 | 30.10822 | 0.99935 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 52 | 31 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.6% | 950 | 497 | 429 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 939 | 11 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.6% | 3,629 | 1,998 | 1,560 | 41 | 24 | 6 | 3,599 | 30 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 38.5% | 10,271 | 5,751 | 4,331 | 112 | 61 | 16 | 10,194 | 68 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 59.2% | 15,785 | 8,819 | 6,696 | 159 | 84 | 27 | 15,674 | 97 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 87.5% | 23,342 | 13,083 | 9,901 | 208 | 112 | 38 | 23,192 | 131 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 94.7% | 25,269 | 14,250 | 10,639 | 219 | 118 | 43 | 25,108 | 140 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 97.4% | 25,991 | 14,664 | 10,932 | 224 | 126 | 45 | 25,820 | 143 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 26,681 | 15,096 | 11,180 | 229 | 129 | 47 | 26,505 | 146 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex