SAN JUAN DE BETULIA (BETULIA) (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28190. 39 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8515.54008 / (1 + e^(-0.15650(t - 38.21597))) | 8515.54008 | 0.15650 | 38.21597 | 0.99700 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4922.07376 / (1 + e^(-0.15522(t - 37.92754))) | 4922.07376 | 0.15522 | 37.92754 | 0.99698 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3490.49798 / (1 + e^(-0.15848(t - 38.59849))) | 3490.49798 | 0.15848 | 38.59849 | 0.99704 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 76.97506 / (1 + e^(-0.15732(t - 39.35482))) | 76.97506 | 0.15732 | 39.35482 | 0.99554 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 20.99011 / (1 + e^(-0.16216(t - 37.82968))) | 20.99011 | 0.16216 | 37.82968 | 0.99241 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.93376 / (1 + e^(-0.37482(t - 33.99655))) | 4.93376 | 0.37482 | 33.99655 | 0.96899 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8489.57910 / (1 + e^(-0.15648(t - 38.21846))) | 8489.57910 | 0.15648 | 38.21846 | 0.99702 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 38.98768 / (1 + e^(-0.14170(t - 36.17628))) | 38.98768 | 0.14170 | 36.17628 | 0.99764 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.4% | 206 | 152 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.2% | 526 | 346 | 178 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 526 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 14.2% | 1,214 | 741 | 463 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1,211 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 40.8% | 3,477 | 2,055 | 1,380 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 3,464 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.9% | 4,763 | 2,827 | 1,879 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 4,747 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 67.2% | 5,729 | 3,344 | 2,318 | 49 | 14 | 4 | 5,711 | 28 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.3% | 7,349 | 4,256 | 3,007 | 64 | 18 | 4 | 7,327 | 34 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.3% | 7,349 | 4,256 | 3,007 | 64 | 18 | 4 | 7,327 | 34 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.3% | 8,038 | 4,636 | 3,303 | 74 | 21 | 4 | 8,013 | 37 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,520 | 4,925 | 3,492 | 77 | 21 | 5 | 8,494 | 39 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex