CHALAN (SUCRE)
Municipio code 28045. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3113.03614 / (1 + e^(-0.15460(t - 36.36397))) | 3113.03614 | 0.15460 | 36.36397 | 0.99331 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1574.71661 / (1 + e^(-0.13919(t - 36.87837))) | 1574.71661 | 0.13919 | 36.87837 | 0.99185 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1495.84082 / (1 + e^(-0.17325(t - 35.84569))) | 1495.84082 | 0.17325 | 35.84569 | 0.99449 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 21.94495 / (1 + e^(-0.20076(t - 34.68374))) | 21.94495 | 0.20076 | 34.68374 | 0.99212 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.94471 / (1 + e^(-0.21301(t - 39.75337))) | 9.94471 | 0.21301 | 39.75337 | 0.98947 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.96737 / (1 + e^(-0.16570(t - 43.68825))) | 10.96737 | 0.16570 | 43.68825 | 0.99057 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3092.04653 / (1 + e^(-0.15480(t - 36.32096))) | 3092.04653 | 0.15480 | 36.32096 | 0.99326 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.95857 / (1 + e^(-0.15093(t - 33.48519))) | 16.95857 | 0.15093 | 33.48519 | 0.99608 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.7% | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.1% | 67 | 34 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 7.1% | 221 | 141 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.7% | 647 | 334 | 307 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 646 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 45.2% | 1,413 | 706 | 696 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1,410 | 9 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 67.7% | 2,114 | 1,053 | 1,035 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2,106 | 13 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 75.7% | 2,365 | 1,145 | 1,187 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 2,351 | 14 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 83.5% | 2,607 | 1,291 | 1,279 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 2,590 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 83.5% | 2,607 | 1,291 | 1,279 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 2,590 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 91.6% | 2,863 | 1,405 | 1,419 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 2,845 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 91.6% | 2,863 | 1,405 | 1,419 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 2,845 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,124 | 1,580 | 1,501 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 3,103 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex