MAGDALENA — Department
30 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 612562.38757 / (1 + e^(-0.18115(t - 37.78921))) | 612562.38757 | 0.18115 | 37.78921 | 0.99975 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 347063.19592 / (1 + e^(-0.18485(t - 37.85911))) | 347063.19592 | 0.18485 | 37.85911 | 0.99976 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 255005.01308 / (1 + e^(-0.17616(t - 37.66919))) | 255005.01308 | 0.17616 | 37.66919 | 0.99972 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 6565.90831 / (1 + e^(-0.18539(t - 38.14184))) | 6565.90831 | 0.18539 | 38.14184 | 0.99978 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3307.39105 / (1 + e^(-0.19139(t - 38.69797))) | 3307.39105 | 0.19139 | 38.69797 | 0.99978 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 620.01335 / (1 + e^(-0.18013(t - 37.93114))) | 620.01335 | 0.18013 | 37.93114 | 0.99967 |
| Validos | y(t) = 608634.79837 / (1 + e^(-0.18110(t - 37.78398))) | 608634.79837 | 0.18110 | 37.78398 | 0.99975 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 3227.45805 / (1 + e^(-0.17377(t - 36.32705))) | 3227.45805 | 0.17377 | 36.32705 | 0.99987 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 76 | 48 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 4 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 1,034 | 472 | 550 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1,030 | 31 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.1% | 6,771 | 3,482 | 3,191 | 67 | 22 | 9 | 6,740 | 108 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 5.7% | 35,101 | 18,122 | 16,496 | 328 | 117 | 38 | 34,946 | 314 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 17.3% | 106,323 | 57,574 | 47,178 | 1,005 | 460 | 106 | 105,757 | 738 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 34.6% | 212,259 | 117,994 | 90,918 | 2,158 | 984 | 205 | 211,070 | 1,312 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 55.9% | 342,569 | 193,473 | 143,452 | 3,577 | 1,713 | 354 | 340,502 | 1,975 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 74.6% | 457,185 | 260,045 | 189,403 | 4,884 | 2,404 | 449 | 454,332 | 2,529 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 88.3% | 541,169 | 307,464 | 224,465 | 5,772 | 2,924 | 544 | 537,701 | 2,920 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.1% | 576,420 | 327,052 | 239,504 | 6,170 | 3,106 | 588 | 572,726 | 3,076 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.3% | 596,028 | 337,949 | 247,899 | 6,364 | 3,206 | 610 | 592,212 | 3,158 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 98.7% | 604,963 | 342,906 | 251,711 | 6,468 | 3,262 | 616 | 601,085 | 3,194 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.3% | 608,734 | 344,812 | 253,506 | 6,512 | 3,286 | 618 | 604,830 | 3,211 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.7% | 611,292 | 346,323 | 254,495 | 6,552 | 3,303 | 619 | 607,370 | 3,222 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 612,825 | 347,228 | 255,098 | 6,570 | 3,309 | 620 | 608,896 | 3,228 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex