SAN SEBASTIAN DE BUENAVISTA (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21070. 58 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9878.13610 / (1 + e^(-0.18933(t - 32.84630))) | 9878.13610 | 0.18933 | 32.84630 | 0.99849 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4055.75650 / (1 + e^(-0.18870(t - 32.74446))) | 4055.75650 | 0.18870 | 32.74446 | 0.99850 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5725.32995 / (1 + e^(-0.18984(t - 32.94164))) | 5725.32995 | 0.18984 | 32.94164 | 0.99848 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 60.05893 / (1 + e^(-0.19110(t - 30.39557))) | 60.05893 | 0.19110 | 30.39557 | 0.99644 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 20.00752 / (1 + e^(-0.15024(t - 34.91616))) | 20.00752 | 0.15024 | 34.91616 | 0.99786 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 17.00593 / (1 + e^(-0.26305(t - 31.50395))) | 17.00593 | 0.26305 | 31.50395 | 0.99723 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9841.14439 / (1 + e^(-0.18934(t - 32.84525))) | 9841.14439 | 0.18934 | 32.84525 | 0.99849 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 57.97977 / (1 + e^(-0.16867(t - 31.57277))) | 57.97977 | 0.16867 | 31.57277 | 0.99796 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.5% | 47 | 26 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.7% | 369 | 170 | 193 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 367 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 18.6% | 1,838 | 788 | 1,027 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1,831 | 15 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 34.5% | 3,404 | 1,398 | 1,967 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3,393 | 24 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 54.0% | 5,329 | 2,200 | 3,070 | 38 | 9 | 12 | 5,308 | 34 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 72.7% | 7,178 | 2,966 | 4,139 | 47 | 12 | 14 | 7,152 | 43 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 94.4% | 9,321 | 3,834 | 5,393 | 60 | 17 | 17 | 9,287 | 54 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.6% | 9,442 | 3,891 | 5,456 | 60 | 18 | 17 | 9,407 | 55 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.9% | 9,669 | 3,971 | 5,602 | 60 | 19 | 17 | 9,633 | 56 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.9% | 9,669 | 3,971 | 5,602 | 60 | 19 | 17 | 9,633 | 56 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,877 | 4,055 | 5,725 | 60 | 20 | 17 | 9,840 | 58 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex