NUEVA GRANADA (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21042. 52 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9674.84091 / (1 + e^(-0.24144(t - 34.68323))) | 9674.84091 | 0.24144 | 34.68323 | 0.99973 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3835.37307 / (1 + e^(-0.24276(t - 34.67337))) | 3835.37307 | 0.24276 | 34.67337 | 0.99976 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5673.37179 / (1 + e^(-0.24064(t - 34.69388))) | 5673.37179 | 0.24064 | 34.69388 | 0.99971 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 104.07666 / (1 + e^(-0.22823(t - 34.83920))) | 104.07666 | 0.22823 | 34.83920 | 0.99855 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 42.03064 / (1 + e^(-0.26913(t - 34.83245))) | 42.03064 | 0.26913 | 34.83245 | 0.99912 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 19.98823 / (1 + e^(-0.25587(t - 32.42285))) | 19.98823 | 0.25587 | 32.42285 | 0.99463 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9612.82154 / (1 + e^(-0.24134(t - 34.68731))) | 9612.82154 | 0.24134 | 34.68731 | 0.99973 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 52.04195 / (1 + e^(-0.21527(t - 33.95552))) | 52.04195 | 0.21527 | 33.95552 | 0.99946 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 26 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.9% | 87 | 21 | 62 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.2% | 601 | 233 | 359 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 600 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.8% | 2,014 | 804 | 1,172 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 1,997 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 47.1% | 4,558 | 1,798 | 2,681 | 50 | 18 | 11 | 4,529 | 26 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 71.5% | 6,918 | 2,760 | 4,041 | 69 | 31 | 17 | 6,870 | 38 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 91.9% | 8,883 | 3,521 | 5,205 | 98 | 40 | 19 | 8,824 | 48 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 97.9% | 9,470 | 3,749 | 5,559 | 101 | 42 | 19 | 9,409 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,671 | 3,834 | 5,671 | 104 | 42 | 20 | 9,609 | 52 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex