CHIVOLO (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21015. 47 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9002.00269 / (1 + e^(-0.18606(t - 36.87005))) | 9002.00269 | 0.18606 | 36.87005 | 0.99854 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3799.00301 / (1 + e^(-0.18504(t - 36.99670))) | 3799.00301 | 0.18504 | 36.99670 | 0.99840 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5096.89379 / (1 + e^(-0.18702(t - 36.73543))) | 5096.89379 | 0.18702 | 36.73543 | 0.99861 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 59.05843 / (1 + e^(-0.20263(t - 37.21764))) | 59.05843 | 0.20263 | 37.21764 | 0.99845 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 25.04086 / (1 + e^(-0.19741(t - 41.65720))) | 25.04086 | 0.19741 | 41.65720 | 0.99622 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 22.03430 / (1 + e^(-0.15413(t - 40.71666))) | 22.03430 | 0.15413 | 40.71666 | 0.99612 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8954.93572 / (1 + e^(-0.18627(t - 36.84874))) | 8954.93572 | 0.18627 | 36.84874 | 0.99855 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.02984 / (1 + e^(-0.18299(t - 36.27682))) | 47.02984 | 0.18299 | 36.27682 | 0.99851 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.7% | 337 | 130 | 204 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 337 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.0% | 2,073 | 858 | 1,195 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2,066 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.0% | 3,421 | 1,422 | 1,967 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 3,408 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 60.0% | 5,398 | 2,289 | 3,056 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 5,379 | 29 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 75.1% | 6,754 | 2,803 | 3,880 | 46 | 13 | 12 | 6,729 | 36 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.1% | 8,288 | 3,478 | 4,714 | 57 | 22 | 17 | 8,249 | 44 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.6% | 8,784 | 3,702 | 4,980 | 58 | 24 | 20 | 8,740 | 46 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,997 | 3,797 | 5,094 | 59 | 25 | 22 | 8,950 | 47 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex