CIENAGA (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21016. 271 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 53589.23839 / (1 + e^(-0.23572(t - 39.35144))) | 53589.23839 | 0.23572 | 39.35144 | 0.99968 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 34962.25547 / (1 + e^(-0.24097(t - 39.42951))) | 34962.25547 | 0.24097 | 39.42951 | 0.99982 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 17582.33024 / (1 + e^(-0.22628(t - 39.20364))) | 17582.33024 | 0.22628 | 39.20364 | 0.99920 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 653.47621 / (1 + e^(-0.23692(t - 38.42069))) | 653.47621 | 0.23692 | 38.42069 | 0.99974 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 352.47814 / (1 + e^(-0.21490(t - 40.75818))) | 352.47814 | 0.21490 | 40.75818 | 0.99916 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 38.98036 / (1 + e^(-0.25154(t - 40.05093))) | 38.98036 | 0.25154 | 40.05093 | 0.99899 |
| Validos | y(t) = 53197.85817 / (1 + e^(-0.23587(t - 39.34205))) | 53197.85817 | 0.23587 | 39.34205 | 0.99968 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 270.77560 / (1 + e^(-0.23115(t - 38.74212))) | 270.77560 | 0.23115 | 38.74212 | 0.99972 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 27 | 15 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.9% | 505 | 338 | 155 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 502 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 6.6% | 3,541 | 2,285 | 1,172 | 58 | 23 | 3 | 3,515 | 23 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.0% | 12,360 | 7,687 | 4,423 | 178 | 64 | 8 | 12,288 | 71 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.5% | 25,497 | 16,476 | 8,516 | 347 | 143 | 15 | 25,339 | 138 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 76.2% | 40,877 | 26,620 | 13,466 | 516 | 245 | 30 | 40,602 | 212 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.1% | 47,808 | 31,296 | 15,573 | 605 | 299 | 35 | 47,474 | 244 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.7% | 51,348 | 33,758 | 16,597 | 633 | 322 | 38 | 50,988 | 261 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.1% | 52,100 | 34,244 | 16,853 | 636 | 329 | 38 | 51,733 | 264 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.7% | 52,391 | 34,444 | 16,926 | 639 | 344 | 38 | 52,009 | 265 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 53,640 | 34,984 | 17,610 | 654 | 353 | 39 | 53,248 | 271 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex