ZAPAYAN (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21090. 31 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5143.84549 / (1 + e^(-0.22586(t - 38.75662))) | 5143.84549 | 0.22586 | 38.75662 | 0.99866 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1619.32790 / (1 + e^(-0.23668(t - 38.39358))) | 1619.32790 | 0.23668 | 38.39358 | 0.99892 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3471.36718 / (1 + e^(-0.22290(t - 38.96813))) | 3471.36718 | 0.22290 | 38.96813 | 0.99848 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 33.06157 / (1 + e^(-0.16883(t - 34.57109))) | 33.06157 | 0.16883 | 34.57109 | 0.99259 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 5.00683 / (1 + e^(-0.14237(t - 32.27935))) | 5.00683 | 0.14237 | 32.27935 | 0.98259 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 15.02101 / (1 + e^(-0.22839(t - 39.10609))) | 15.02101 | 0.22839 | 39.10609 | 0.99589 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5123.80423 / (1 + e^(-0.22603(t - 38.76001))) | 5123.80423 | 0.22603 | 38.76001 | 0.99867 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 31.05676 / (1 + e^(-0.17287(t - 35.90254))) | 31.05676 | 0.17287 | 35.90254 | 0.99639 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.6% | 80 | 32 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.7% | 447 | 130 | 306 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 444 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 12.0% | 619 | 189 | 415 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 615 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 23.6% | 1,212 | 371 | 823 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1,206 | 11 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 51.6% | 2,649 | 895 | 1,720 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 2,638 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.8% | 3,792 | 1,242 | 2,509 | 27 | 4 | 10 | 3,778 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.7% | 4,917 | 1,544 | 3,320 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 4,897 | 30 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,138 | 1,618 | 3,467 | 33 | 5 | 15 | 5,118 | 31 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex