SAN ZENON (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21073. 32 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5315.39371 / (1 + e^(-0.18867(t - 33.91133))) | 5315.39371 | 0.18867 | 33.91133 | 0.99742 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2231.86724 / (1 + e^(-0.19626(t - 34.15337))) | 2231.86724 | 0.19626 | 34.15337 | 0.99722 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3041.45065 / (1 + e^(-0.18378(t - 33.71939))) | 3041.45065 | 0.18378 | 33.71939 | 0.99739 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 31.00957 / (1 + e^(-0.18185(t - 32.49473))) | 31.00957 | 0.18185 | 32.49473 | 0.99585 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 6.00836 / (1 + e^(-0.18757(t - 36.91559))) | 6.00836 | 0.18757 | 36.91559 | 0.99233 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00855 / (1 + e^(-0.18643(t - 41.04048))) | 5.00855 | 0.18643 | 41.04048 | 0.99624 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5304.37037 / (1 + e^(-0.18877(t - 33.90149))) | 5304.37037 | 0.18877 | 33.90149 | 0.99742 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 32.00335 / (1 + e^(-0.18421(t - 32.33806))) | 32.00335 | 0.18421 | 32.33806 | 0.99796 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.5% | 507 | 142 | 357 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 506 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 32.9% | 1,747 | 685 | 1,048 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1,745 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 52.4% | 2,783 | 1,158 | 1,606 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2,780 | 18 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 72.5% | 3,852 | 1,622 | 2,199 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 3,846 | 25 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.2% | 4,262 | 1,783 | 2,446 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 4,255 | 27 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.9% | 5,097 | 2,145 | 2,912 | 30 | 6 | 4 | 5,087 | 31 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,315 | 2,232 | 3,041 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 5,304 | 32 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex