EL PIÑON (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21028. 44 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 7954.06819 / (1 + e^(-0.17767(t - 37.40453))) | 7954.06819 | 0.17767 | 37.40453 | 0.99745 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3842.30057 / (1 + e^(-0.18203(t - 36.62051))) | 3842.30057 | 0.18203 | 36.62051 | 0.99683 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4032.84056 / (1 + e^(-0.17473(t - 38.17505))) | 4032.84056 | 0.17473 | 38.17505 | 0.99786 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 43.01604 / (1 + e^(-0.15926(t - 35.87812))) | 43.01604 | 0.15926 | 35.87812 | 0.99568 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 26.02159 / (1 + e^(-0.21659(t - 37.79314))) | 26.02159 | 0.21659 | 37.79314 | 0.99521 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.02046 / (1 + e^(-0.17023(t - 39.40527))) | 10.02046 | 0.17023 | 39.40527 | 0.99168 |
| Validos | y(t) = 7918.02321 / (1 + e^(-0.17760(t - 37.40106))) | 7918.02321 | 0.17760 | 37.40106 | 0.99744 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 44.03604 / (1 + e^(-0.16318(t - 35.69467))) | 44.03604 | 0.16318 | 35.69467 | 0.99754 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.9% | 148 | 74 | 70 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 24.1% | 1,914 | 1,016 | 875 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1,906 | 14 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.8% | 3,086 | 1,603 | 1,453 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3,075 | 20 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 54.0% | 4,294 | 2,189 | 2,063 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 4,277 | 26 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.3% | 5,824 | 2,906 | 2,855 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5,795 | 34 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 90.2% | 7,165 | 3,599 | 3,497 | 37 | 23 | 9 | 7,133 | 40 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.0% | 7,789 | 3,788 | 3,924 | 41 | 26 | 10 | 7,753 | 43 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 7,947 | 3,839 | 4,029 | 43 | 26 | 10 | 7,911 | 44 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex