PEDRAZA (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21046. 33 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5026.22981 / (1 + e^(-0.23025(t - 32.96554))) | 5026.22981 | 0.23025 | 32.96554 | 0.99938 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1792.54675 / (1 + e^(-0.23334(t - 31.79015))) | 1792.54675 | 0.23334 | 31.79015 | 0.99930 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3199.60545 / (1 + e^(-0.23123(t - 33.63093))) | 3199.60545 | 0.23123 | 33.63093 | 0.99932 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 10.00098 / (1 + e^(-0.29023(t - 29.90221))) | 10.00098 | 0.29023 | 29.90221 | 0.99831 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.00954 / (1 + e^(-0.32466(t - 33.41048))) | 15.00954 | 0.32466 | 33.41048 | 0.99964 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.01314 / (1 + e^(-0.23298(t - 33.55585))) | 9.01314 | 0.23298 | 33.55585 | 0.99580 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5002.20903 / (1 + e^(-0.23006(t - 32.96322))) | 5002.20903 | 0.23006 | 32.96322 | 0.99938 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 33.02171 / (1 + e^(-0.21683(t - 32.09522))) | 33.02171 | 0.21683 | 32.09522 | 0.99938 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 15 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 15 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.4% | 571 | 276 | 291 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 569 | 5 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 31.3% | 1,572 | 644 | 918 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1,566 | 12 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 54.2% | 2,725 | 1,105 | 1,600 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2,713 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 80.1% | 4,023 | 1,495 | 2,499 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 4,003 | 27 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 92.1% | 4,627 | 1,696 | 2,897 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 4,603 | 31 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,024 | 1,792 | 3,198 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 5,000 | 33 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex