GUAMAL (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21040. 79 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 12229.65202 / (1 + e^(-0.18173(t - 33.20255))) | 12229.65202 | 0.18173 | 33.20255 | 0.99830 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4510.14146 / (1 + e^(-0.19437(t - 33.83180))) | 4510.14146 | 0.19437 | 33.83180 | 0.99871 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7607.45271 / (1 + e^(-0.17581(t - 32.80054))) | 7607.45271 | 0.17581 | 32.80054 | 0.99779 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 66.96402 / (1 + e^(-0.17325(t - 31.62929))) | 66.96402 | 0.17325 | 31.62929 | 0.99573 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 27.92638 / (1 + e^(-0.18455(t - 37.16391))) | 27.92638 | 0.18455 | 37.16391 | 0.99470 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 17.00940 / (1 + e^(-0.18678(t - 40.94114))) | 17.00940 | 0.18678 | 40.94114 | 0.99341 |
| Validos | y(t) = 12184.72705 / (1 + e^(-0.18181(t - 33.18249))) | 12184.72705 | 0.18181 | 33.18249 | 0.99829 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 78.94557 / (1 + e^(-0.16953(t - 32.30413))) | 78.94557 | 0.16953 | 32.30413 | 0.99795 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.3% | 286 | 58 | 225 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 18.0% | 2,203 | 660 | 1,523 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2,202 | 18 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 33.2% | 4,064 | 1,359 | 2,674 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4,060 | 31 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 51.6% | 6,322 | 2,154 | 4,117 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 6,307 | 44 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 77.9% | 9,533 | 3,473 | 5,977 | 56 | 19 | 8 | 9,506 | 61 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 85.1% | 10,421 | 3,837 | 6,495 | 59 | 21 | 9 | 10,391 | 67 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.5% | 11,327 | 4,276 | 6,949 | 63 | 24 | 15 | 11,288 | 74 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.2% | 11,532 | 4,342 | 7,087 | 64 | 24 | 15 | 11,493 | 75 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.1% | 12,011 | 4,471 | 7,431 | 66 | 26 | 17 | 11,968 | 78 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 12,242 | 4,512 | 7,618 | 67 | 28 | 17 | 12,197 | 79 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex