CERRO DE SAN ANTONIO (MAGDALENA)
Municipio code 21013. 28 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4399.96177 / (1 + e^(-0.17551(t - 36.34210))) | 4399.96177 | 0.17551 | 36.34210 | 0.99818 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1782.98740 / (1 + e^(-0.17875(t - 35.76680))) | 1782.98740 | 0.17875 | 35.76680 | 0.99854 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2567.88374 / (1 + e^(-0.17403(t - 36.75186))) | 2567.88374 | 0.17403 | 36.75186 | 0.99778 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 25.01022 / (1 + e^(-0.20794(t - 34.91220))) | 25.01022 | 0.20794 | 34.91220 | 0.99712 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 17.02728 / (1 + e^(-0.20685(t - 38.19706))) | 17.02728 | 0.20685 | 38.19706 | 0.99688 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.00938 / (1 + e^(-0.11405(t - 34.68549))) | 7.00938 | 0.11405 | 34.68549 | 0.98013 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4375.92212 / (1 + e^(-0.17558(t - 36.33664))) | 4375.92212 | 0.17558 | 36.33664 | 0.99819 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.02679 / (1 + e^(-0.17141(t - 36.00066))) | 28.02679 | 0.17141 | 36.00066 | 0.99776 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.4% | 587 | 251 | 330 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 583 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 22.7% | 998 | 412 | 575 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 992 | 7 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 41.4% | 1,822 | 771 | 1,030 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1,814 | 12 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.3% | 2,609 | 1,135 | 1,444 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2,596 | 17 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 75.5% | 3,320 | 1,382 | 1,901 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3,303 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 96.0% | 4,221 | 1,706 | 2,467 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 4,198 | 27 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 96.0% | 4,221 | 1,706 | 2,467 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 4,198 | 27 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,396 | 1,782 | 2,565 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 4,372 | 28 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex