ARIGUANI (EL DIFICIL) (MAGDALENA)

Municipio code 21012. 73 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
SeriesEquationLkt_mid (min)
Total votesy(t) = 13734.07047 / (1 + e^(-0.20877(t - 42.67837)))13734.070470.2087742.678370.99927
Cepeday(t) = 6403.41667 / (1 + e^(-0.20983(t - 42.54284)))6403.416670.2098342.542840.99916
Espriellay(t) = 7057.64447 / (1 + e^(-0.20777(t - 42.80018)))7057.644470.2077742.800180.99933
Blancosy(t) = 147.13297 / (1 + e^(-0.20658(t - 41.86855)))147.132970.2065841.868550.99919
Nulosy(t) = 104.91664 / (1 + e^(-0.21092(t - 43.73306)))104.916640.2109243.733060.99923
No marcadosy(t) = 20.99756 / (1 + e^(-0.22942(t - 43.57956)))20.997560.2294243.579560.99870
Validosy(t) = 13608.16452 / (1 + e^(-0.20872(t - 42.66862)))13608.164520.2087242.668620.99927
Mesas escrutadasy(t) = 73.01565 / (1 + e^(-0.19675(t - 41.90714)))73.015650.1967541.907140.99940
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
AvanceTime% of final votesTotal votesCepedaEspriellaBlancosNulosNo marcadosValidosMesas escrutadas
016:000.0%00000000
116:090.0%00000000
216:140.0%00000000
316:190.0%00000000
416:242.4%3291861412003292
516:297.0%96444350610509596
616:3417.2%2,3621,1261,189311422,34615
716:3929.8%4,0861,9492,055502754,05425
816:4454.0%7,4223,4743,7998552127,35842
916:4982.9%11,3825,3685,793122831611,28361
1016:5491.6%12,5745,8996,424140931812,46367
1116:5996.7%13,2836,2016,816146992113,16371
1217:0496.7%13,2836,2016,816146992113,16371
1317:09100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1417:14100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1517:19100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1617:24100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1717:29100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1817:34100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
1917:39100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2017:44100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2117:49100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2217:54100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2317:59100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2418:04100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2518:09100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2618:14100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2718:19100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2818:24100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
2918:29100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3018:34100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3118:39100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3218:44100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3318:49100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3418:54100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3518:59100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3619:04100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3719:09100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3819:14100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
3919:19100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4019:24100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4119:29100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4219:34100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4319:39100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4419:44100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4519:49100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4619:54100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4719:59100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4820:04100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
4920:09100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5020:14100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5120:19100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5220:24100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5320:29100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5420:34100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5520:39100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5620:44100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5720:49100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5820:54100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
5920:59100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6021:04100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6121:09100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6221:14100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6321:19100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6421:24100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6521:29100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
6621:34100.0%13,7346,4037,0581471052113,60873
collected by @onorosaurosrex