CESAR — Department
25 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 558454.12770 / (1 + e^(-0.17576(t - 35.87883))) | 558454.12770 | 0.17576 | 35.87883 | 0.99954 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 281701.20942 / (1 + e^(-0.17609(t - 35.67324))) | 281701.20942 | 0.17609 | 35.67324 | 0.99952 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 265625.80494 / (1 + e^(-0.17556(t - 36.08338))) | 265625.80494 | 0.17556 | 36.08338 | 0.99957 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 6323.92237 / (1 + e^(-0.17305(t - 36.30922))) | 6323.92237 | 0.17305 | 36.30922 | 0.99956 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 4190.88607 / (1 + e^(-0.17567(t - 36.24030))) | 4190.88607 | 0.17567 | 36.24030 | 0.99958 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 612.07607 / (1 + e^(-0.17825(t - 34.79217))) | 612.07607 | 0.17825 | 34.79217 | 0.99933 |
| Validos | y(t) = 553651.16779 / (1 + e^(-0.17576(t - 35.87729))) | 553651.16779 | 0.17576 | 35.87729 | 0.99954 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 2754.27958 / (1 + e^(-0.16790(t - 34.52482))) | 2754.27958 | 0.16790 | 34.52482 | 0.99981 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 327 | 156 | 163 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 323 | 15 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.5% | 2,808 | 1,497 | 1,257 | 34 | 20 | 0 | 2,788 | 63 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.2% | 12,545 | 6,478 | 5,849 | 129 | 73 | 16 | 12,456 | 149 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.2% | 51,587 | 26,850 | 23,721 | 568 | 380 | 68 | 51,139 | 381 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 23.9% | 133,411 | 69,648 | 61,211 | 1,434 | 939 | 179 | 132,293 | 806 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 43.6% | 243,467 | 124,906 | 113,841 | 2,663 | 1,766 | 291 | 241,410 | 1,344 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 63.9% | 357,045 | 182,667 | 167,441 | 3,914 | 2,616 | 407 | 354,022 | 1,873 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 78.9% | 440,884 | 223,653 | 208,554 | 4,900 | 3,268 | 509 | 437,107 | 2,252 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 89.5% | 499,947 | 253,240 | 236,799 | 5,609 | 3,738 | 561 | 495,648 | 2,510 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.7% | 534,665 | 270,195 | 253,843 | 6,031 | 4,001 | 595 | 530,069 | 2,656 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.6% | 550,836 | 278,086 | 261,792 | 6,217 | 4,131 | 610 | 546,095 | 2,724 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 558,502 | 281,730 | 265,645 | 6,324 | 4,191 | 612 | 553,699 | 2,754 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex