CHIMICHAGUA (CESAR)
Municipio code 12300. 84 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 14237.73529 / (1 + e^(-0.16263(t - 30.93465))) | 14237.73529 | 0.16263 | 30.93465 | 0.99860 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6288.97087 / (1 + e^(-0.16340(t - 31.27186))) | 6288.97087 | 0.16340 | 31.27186 | 0.99842 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7794.69433 / (1 + e^(-0.16196(t - 30.67440))) | 7794.69433 | 0.16196 | 30.67440 | 0.99864 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 84.03416 / (1 + e^(-0.17722(t - 30.28869))) | 84.03416 | 0.17722 | 30.28869 | 0.99956 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 58.00042 / (1 + e^(-0.16203(t - 30.58591))) | 58.00042 | 0.16203 | 30.58591 | 0.99913 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 12.01932 / (1 + e^(-0.18776(t - 28.56328))) | 12.01932 | 0.18776 | 28.56328 | 0.99176 |
| Validos | y(t) = 14167.73021 / (1 + e^(-0.16261(t - 30.93839))) | 14167.73021 | 0.16261 | 30.93839 | 0.99859 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 84.05676 / (1 + e^(-0.14566(t - 28.84607))) | 84.05676 | 0.14566 | 28.84607 | 0.99864 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.8% | 112 | 64 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 108 | 4 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 3.6% | 511 | 216 | 287 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 507 | 9 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 10.2% | 1,451 | 572 | 860 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1,441 | 15 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 30.2% | 4,292 | 1,838 | 2,412 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4,273 | 32 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 39.5% | 5,625 | 2,352 | 3,208 | 36 | 24 | 5 | 5,596 | 39 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 63.1% | 8,984 | 3,941 | 4,940 | 56 | 38 | 9 | 8,937 | 57 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 78.3% | 11,144 | 4,877 | 6,141 | 68 | 47 | 11 | 11,086 | 69 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 88.6% | 12,607 | 5,535 | 6,931 | 78 | 51 | 12 | 12,544 | 76 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 94.4% | 13,438 | 5,896 | 7,394 | 81 | 55 | 12 | 13,371 | 80 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.7% | 14,052 | 6,172 | 7,728 | 84 | 56 | 12 | 13,984 | 83 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 14,234 | 6,288 | 7,792 | 84 | 58 | 12 | 14,164 | 84 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex