SAN DIEGO (CESAR)
Municipio code 12850. 55 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10778.18176 / (1 + e^(-0.18172(t - 31.35876))) | 10778.18176 | 0.18172 | 31.35876 | 0.99789 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 5066.86036 / (1 + e^(-0.17899(t - 31.05693))) | 5066.86036 | 0.17899 | 31.05693 | 0.99780 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5507.55939 / (1 + e^(-0.18375(t - 31.67821))) | 5507.55939 | 0.18375 | 31.67821 | 0.99785 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 122.78617 / (1 + e^(-0.21386(t - 29.92008))) | 122.78617 | 0.21386 | 29.92008 | 0.99677 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 68.90835 / (1 + e^(-0.19919(t - 30.33285))) | 68.90835 | 0.19919 | 30.33285 | 0.99718 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.98462 / (1 + e^(-0.31215(t - 30.44145))) | 11.98462 | 0.31215 | 30.44145 | 0.99836 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10697.29478 / (1 + e^(-0.18155(t - 31.36672))) | 10697.29478 | 0.18155 | 31.36672 | 0.99790 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 55.00384 / (1 + e^(-0.16102(t - 29.65804))) | 55.00384 | 0.16102 | 29.65804 | 0.99899 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.9% | 201 | 96 | 101 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 5 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 5.1% | 551 | 255 | 287 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 548 | 7 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 18.3% | 1,974 | 1,071 | 866 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 1,959 | 15 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 45.2% | 4,870 | 2,359 | 2,410 | 63 | 33 | 5 | 4,832 | 28 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 63.0% | 6,798 | 3,228 | 3,426 | 87 | 48 | 9 | 6,741 | 37 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 77.2% | 8,322 | 3,925 | 4,224 | 105 | 57 | 11 | 8,254 | 44 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 87.6% | 9,443 | 4,463 | 4,799 | 110 | 60 | 11 | 9,372 | 49 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 94.0% | 10,133 | 4,771 | 5,171 | 114 | 65 | 12 | 10,056 | 52 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,783 | 5,069 | 5,510 | 123 | 69 | 12 | 10,702 | 55 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex