BECERRIL (CESAR)
Municipio code 12180. 60 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 11291.84880 / (1 + e^(-0.17883(t - 35.31757))) | 11291.84880 | 0.17883 | 35.31757 | 0.99923 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6970.15853 / (1 + e^(-0.17967(t - 34.83868))) | 6970.15853 | 0.17967 | 34.83868 | 0.99913 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4112.52639 / (1 + e^(-0.17814(t - 36.09579))) | 4112.52639 | 0.17814 | 36.09579 | 0.99926 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 117.11817 / (1 + e^(-0.17330(t - 35.53493))) | 117.11817 | 0.17330 | 35.53493 | 0.99911 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 77.05943 / (1 + e^(-0.19678(t - 36.18419))) | 77.05943 | 0.19678 | 36.18419 | 0.99940 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 15.00792 / (1 + e^(-0.20956(t - 38.75550))) | 15.00792 | 0.20956 | 38.75550 | 0.99899 |
| Validos | y(t) = 11199.77271 / (1 + e^(-0.17870(t - 35.30636))) | 11199.77271 | 0.17870 | 35.30636 | 0.99923 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 60.04888 / (1 + e^(-0.16980(t - 33.97102))) | 60.04888 | 0.16980 | 33.97102 | 0.99933 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 28 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.2% | 28 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 3.3% | 377 | 235 | 137 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 377 | 4 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.1% | 1,249 | 831 | 395 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 1,242 | 9 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 27.9% | 3,147 | 2,095 | 1,002 | 31 | 17 | 2 | 3,128 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 42.9% | 4,844 | 3,100 | 1,662 | 48 | 30 | 4 | 4,810 | 29 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 65.9% | 7,436 | 4,704 | 2,599 | 77 | 48 | 8 | 7,380 | 42 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 80.6% | 9,096 | 5,750 | 3,180 | 92 | 63 | 11 | 9,022 | 50 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 92.5% | 10,433 | 6,495 | 3,745 | 108 | 72 | 13 | 10,348 | 56 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 11,283 | 6,965 | 4,109 | 117 | 77 | 15 | 11,191 | 60 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex