LA JAGUA DE IBIRICO (CESAR)
Municipio code 12608. 97 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 19321.60467 / (1 + e^(-0.21516(t - 34.19383))) | 19321.60467 | 0.21516 | 34.19383 | 0.99979 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 11853.55495 / (1 + e^(-0.21466(t - 34.07872))) | 11853.55495 | 0.21466 | 34.07872 | 0.99979 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 7009.90024 / (1 + e^(-0.21714(t - 34.37862))) | 7009.90024 | 0.21714 | 34.37862 | 0.99975 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 229.07419 / (1 + e^(-0.20291(t - 34.47635))) | 229.07419 | 0.20291 | 34.47635 | 0.99964 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 212.02115 / (1 + e^(-0.20249(t - 34.18919))) | 212.02115 | 0.20249 | 34.18919 | 0.99974 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 17.02142 / (1 + e^(-0.16546(t - 33.24087))) | 17.02142 | 0.16546 | 33.24087 | 0.99366 |
| Validos | y(t) = 19092.54872 / (1 + e^(-0.21538(t - 34.19442))) | 19092.54872 | 0.21538 | 34.19442 | 0.99979 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 97.02381 / (1 + e^(-0.19472(t - 33.09836))) | 97.02381 | 0.19472 | 33.09836 | 0.99988 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.1% | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 147 | 101 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 146 | 3 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.0% | 386 | 240 | 134 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 382 | 6 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 9.9% | 1,922 | 1,210 | 650 | 32 | 26 | 4 | 1,892 | 15 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 24.0% | 4,633 | 2,928 | 1,590 | 53 | 55 | 7 | 4,571 | 29 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 50.5% | 9,751 | 6,042 | 3,487 | 108 | 106 | 8 | 9,637 | 53 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 73.7% | 14,248 | 8,783 | 5,136 | 165 | 152 | 12 | 14,084 | 74 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 87.3% | 16,876 | 10,371 | 6,107 | 199 | 185 | 14 | 16,677 | 86 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 96.4% | 18,636 | 11,471 | 6,723 | 221 | 204 | 17 | 18,415 | 94 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.6% | 18,868 | 11,597 | 6,823 | 224 | 207 | 17 | 18,644 | 95 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 19,325 | 11,855 | 7,012 | 229 | 212 | 17 | 19,096 | 97 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex