PELAYA (CESAR)
Municipio code 12700. 51 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 10235.31997 / (1 + e^(-0.27471(t - 29.54759))) | 10235.31997 | 0.27471 | 29.54759 | 0.99893 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3792.84383 / (1 + e^(-0.28383(t - 29.20245))) | 3792.84383 | 0.28383 | 29.20245 | 0.99912 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6220.91874 / (1 + e^(-0.26948(t - 29.77782))) | 6220.91874 | 0.26948 | 29.77782 | 0.99881 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 110.87291 / (1 + e^(-0.30843(t - 29.18346))) | 110.87291 | 0.30843 | 29.18346 | 0.99866 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 93.87611 / (1 + e^(-0.26127(t - 29.24265))) | 93.87611 | 0.26127 | 29.24265 | 0.99739 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.98430 / (1 + e^(-0.17434(t - 29.62608))) | 16.98430 | 0.17434 | 29.62608 | 0.98843 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10124.47859 / (1 + e^(-0.27511(t - 29.55096))) | 10124.47859 | 0.27511 | 29.55096 | 0.99894 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 50.97345 / (1 + e^(-0.26730(t - 28.90410))) | 50.97345 | 0.26730 | 28.90410 | 0.99900 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.4% | 148 | 64 | 80 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 19.3% | 1,979 | 783 | 1,151 | 19 | 20 | 6 | 1,953 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 45.7% | 4,681 | 1,804 | 2,769 | 53 | 46 | 9 | 4,626 | 25 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 79.7% | 8,160 | 3,098 | 4,880 | 94 | 76 | 12 | 8,072 | 42 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 88.8% | 9,093 | 3,452 | 5,447 | 100 | 81 | 13 | 8,999 | 46 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.9% | 9,817 | 3,654 | 5,957 | 105 | 87 | 14 | 9,716 | 49 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,242 | 3,795 | 6,225 | 111 | 94 | 17 | 10,131 | 51 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex