CAUCA — Department
42 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 787093.77007 / (1 + e^(-0.15504(t - 46.20594))) | 787093.77007 | 0.15504 | 46.20594 | 0.99954 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 584527.62569 / (1 + e^(-0.15164(t - 46.11113))) | 584527.62569 | 0.15164 | 46.11113 | 0.99945 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 176754.75863 / (1 + e^(-0.16692(t - 46.42822))) | 176754.75863 | 0.16692 | 46.42822 | 0.99973 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11572.91750 / (1 + e^(-0.15817(t - 46.43619))) | 11572.91750 | 0.15817 | 46.43619 | 0.99966 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 12422.68364 / (1 + e^(-0.15520(t - 47.18256))) | 12422.68364 | 0.15520 | 47.18256 | 0.99957 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1821.98439 / (1 + e^(-0.16185(t - 46.85900))) | 1821.98439 | 0.16185 | 46.85900 | 0.99958 |
| Validos | y(t) = 772848.88004 / (1 + e^(-0.15503(t - 46.18860))) | 772848.88004 | 0.15503 | 46.18860 | 0.99954 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 3422.97642 / (1 + e^(-0.14312(t - 44.88370))) | 3422.97642 | 0.14312 | 44.88370 | 0.99971 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 326 | 279 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 325 | 9 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.2% | 1,514 | 1,321 | 169 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1,502 | 34 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.9% | 6,885 | 5,729 | 952 | 104 | 91 | 9 | 6,785 | 109 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.9% | 30,371 | 24,555 | 4,985 | 412 | 377 | 42 | 29,952 | 273 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.8% | 93,206 | 72,545 | 17,940 | 1,314 | 1,211 | 196 | 91,799 | 588 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 26.7% | 210,668 | 161,474 | 42,885 | 2,957 | 2,928 | 424 | 207,316 | 1,103 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 41.5% | 327,473 | 246,815 | 70,533 | 4,669 | 4,754 | 702 | 322,017 | 1,581 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 61.5% | 484,592 | 361,283 | 108,048 | 7,006 | 7,178 | 1,077 | 476,337 | 2,217 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 77.1% | 607,445 | 450,045 | 137,782 | 8,919 | 9,305 | 1,394 | 596,746 | 2,703 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 86.6% | 682,956 | 504,945 | 155,783 | 10,083 | 10,553 | 1,592 | 670,811 | 3,003 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 92.6% | 729,803 | 539,361 | 166,536 | 10,780 | 11,432 | 1,694 | 716,677 | 3,185 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 95.5% | 752,535 | 556,619 | 171,300 | 11,099 | 11,784 | 1,733 | 739,018 | 3,277 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.1% | 765,567 | 566,794 | 173,608 | 11,305 | 12,089 | 1,771 | 751,707 | 3,332 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 98.3% | 774,488 | 574,326 | 174,770 | 11,410 | 12,189 | 1,793 | 760,506 | 3,367 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.1% | 781,181 | 579,467 | 176,086 | 11,502 | 12,320 | 1,806 | 767,055 | 3,395 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.5% | 783,932 | 581,809 | 176,395 | 11,546 | 12,369 | 1,813 | 769,750 | 3,407 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 99.6% | 785,165 | 582,924 | 176,472 | 11,556 | 12,399 | 1,814 | 770,952 | 3,413 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 99.8% | 786,501 | 583,966 | 176,715 | 11,576 | 12,427 | 1,817 | 772,257 | 3,418 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 99.8% | 786,755 | 584,097 | 176,831 | 11,578 | 12,428 | 1,821 | 772,506 | 3,419 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 99.9% | 787,241 | 584,520 | 176,886 | 11,579 | 12,434 | 1,822 | 772,985 | 3,422 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 99.9% | 787,517 | 584,789 | 176,889 | 11,580 | 12,437 | 1,822 | 773,258 | 3,423 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 99.9% | 787,675 | 584,940 | 176,894 | 11,581 | 12,438 | 1,822 | 773,415 | 3,424 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 787,853 | 585,106 | 176,899 | 11,584 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,589 | 3,425 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 788,229 | 585,479 | 176,901 | 11,585 | 12,439 | 1,825 | 773,965 | 3,427 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex