ASTREA (CESAR)
Municipio code 12170. 51 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 10164.70477 / (1 + e^(-0.27146(t - 31.89043))) | 10164.70477 | 0.27146 | 31.89043 | 0.99966 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4421.15483 / (1 + e^(-0.27051(t - 32.17702))) | 4421.15483 | 0.27051 | 32.17702 | 0.99972 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5622.52903 / (1 + e^(-0.27293(t - 31.64215))) | 5622.52903 | 0.27293 | 31.64215 | 0.99959 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 75.98784 / (1 + e^(-0.26003(t - 31.83637))) | 75.98784 | 0.26003 | 31.83637 | 0.99948 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 32.98668 / (1 + e^(-0.31187(t - 34.88685))) | 32.98668 | 0.31187 | 34.88685 | 0.99871 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.99365 / (1 + e^(-0.37665(t - 33.76861))) | 11.99365 | 0.37665 | 33.76861 | 0.99866 |
| Validos | y(t) = 10119.69450 / (1 + e^(-0.27146(t - 31.87759))) | 10119.69450 | 0.27146 | 31.87759 | 0.99966 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 50.99491 / (1 + e^(-0.26223(t - 31.38711))) | 50.99491 | 0.26223 | 31.38711 | 0.99982 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.7% | 169 | 84 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 8.7% | 883 | 367 | 505 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 881 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 32.7% | 3,323 | 1,349 | 1,943 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 3,317 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 64.1% | 6,512 | 2,771 | 3,673 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 6,492 | 34 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 87.1% | 8,857 | 3,803 | 4,949 | 67 | 27 | 11 | 8,819 | 45 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 93.6% | 9,515 | 4,127 | 5,278 | 70 | 29 | 11 | 9,475 | 48 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,167 | 4,422 | 5,624 | 76 | 33 | 12 | 10,122 | 51 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex