SAN SEBASTIAN (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11073. 24 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4764.91357 / (1 + e^(-0.12839(t - 52.70539))) | 4764.91357 | 0.12839 | 52.70539 | 0.99181 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3803.70434 / (1 + e^(-0.14704(t - 51.73501))) | 3803.70434 | 0.14704 | 51.73501 | 0.99425 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 851.30326 / (1 + e^(-0.07125(t - 61.38567))) | 851.30326 | 0.07125 | 61.38567 | 0.98440 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 55.46033 / (1 + e^(-0.22654(t - 48.02075))) | 55.46033 | 0.22654 | 48.02075 | 0.99288 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 41.82526 / (1 + e^(-0.21525(t - 51.40236))) | 41.82526 | 0.21525 | 51.40236 | 0.99535 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 23.48028 / (1 + e^(-0.17704(t - 49.27115))) | 23.48028 | 0.17704 | 49.27115 | 0.97060 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4699.67402 / (1 + e^(-0.12776(t - 52.73795))) | 4699.67402 | 0.12776 | 52.73795 | 0.99183 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 23.89979 / (1 + e^(-0.10498(t - 49.99686))) | 23.89979 | 0.10498 | 49.99686 | 0.99407 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.6% | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 2.7% | 130 | 120 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 3 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 2.7% | 130 | 120 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 130 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 5.5% | 266 | 219 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 4 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 18.7% | 896 | 705 | 169 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 888 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 51.9% | 2,491 | 2,051 | 368 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 2,455 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 56.7% | 2,719 | 2,216 | 416 | 44 | 25 | 18 | 2,676 | 15 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 67.3% | 3,228 | 2,694 | 436 | 46 | 34 | 18 | 3,176 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 81.3% | 3,898 | 3,252 | 536 | 51 | 39 | 20 | 3,839 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 86.5% | 4,149 | 3,487 | 551 | 51 | 40 | 20 | 4,089 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 86.5% | 4,149 | 3,487 | 551 | 51 | 40 | 20 | 4,089 | 21 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 86.5% | 4,149 | 3,487 | 551 | 51 | 40 | 20 | 4,089 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 92.0% | 4,414 | 3,623 | 677 | 53 | 41 | 20 | 4,353 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 94.7% | 4,543 | 3,692 | 736 | 54 | 41 | 20 | 4,482 | 23 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 94.7% | 4,543 | 3,692 | 736 | 54 | 41 | 20 | 4,482 | 23 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 94.7% | 4,543 | 3,692 | 736 | 54 | 41 | 20 | 4,482 | 23 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,797 | 3,823 | 852 | 56 | 42 | 24 | 4,731 | 24 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex