PATIA (EL BORDO) (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11058. 95 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 20904.98443 / (1 + e^(-0.16999(t - 45.97533))) | 20904.98443 | 0.16999 | 45.97533 | 0.99948 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 15754.28926 / (1 + e^(-0.16467(t - 46.10152))) | 15754.28926 | 0.16467 | 46.10152 | 0.99938 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4238.04060 / (1 + e^(-0.19341(t - 45.79341))) | 4238.04060 | 0.19341 | 45.79341 | 0.99920 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 353.79328 / (1 + e^(-0.16579(t - 45.23914))) | 353.79328 | 0.16579 | 45.23914 | 0.99944 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 483.76718 / (1 + e^(-0.18731(t - 44.04688))) | 483.76718 | 0.18731 | 44.04688 | 0.99977 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 74.94238 / (1 + e^(-0.20887(t - 46.40927))) | 74.94238 | 0.20887 | 46.40927 | 0.99875 |
| Validos | y(t) = 20346.37108 / (1 + e^(-0.16957(t - 46.02160))) | 20346.37108 | 0.16957 | 46.02160 | 0.99947 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 94.97538 / (1 + e^(-0.15489(t - 44.13681))) | 94.97538 | 0.15489 | 44.13681 | 0.99956 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 67 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 65 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.9% | 406 | 302 | 80 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 393 | 7 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 3.3% | 687 | 507 | 140 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 666 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 9.2% | 1,931 | 1,490 | 328 | 47 | 62 | 4 | 1,865 | 15 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 22.7% | 4,757 | 3,757 | 774 | 85 | 131 | 10 | 4,616 | 28 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 44.9% | 9,393 | 7,064 | 1,883 | 164 | 251 | 31 | 9,111 | 48 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 63.2% | 13,218 | 9,801 | 2,779 | 241 | 348 | 49 | 12,821 | 66 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 77.1% | 16,135 | 11,859 | 3,529 | 278 | 411 | 58 | 15,666 | 77 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 90.5% | 18,927 | 14,214 | 3,868 | 320 | 453 | 72 | 18,402 | 87 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 93.3% | 19,505 | 14,728 | 3,913 | 327 | 465 | 72 | 18,968 | 89 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.0% | 20,289 | 15,308 | 4,084 | 346 | 478 | 73 | 19,738 | 92 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.7% | 20,859 | 15,733 | 4,218 | 351 | 483 | 74 | 20,302 | 94 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 20,914 | 15,757 | 4,244 | 354 | 484 | 75 | 20,355 | 95 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex