SUCRE (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11086. 22 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4595.91159 / (1 + e^(-0.15474(t - 53.30564))) | 4595.91159 | 0.15474 | 53.30564 | 0.99815 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4179.57175 / (1 + e^(-0.15472(t - 53.33376))) | 4179.57175 | 0.15472 | 53.33376 | 0.99798 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 280.22691 / (1 + e^(-0.15094(t - 53.06541))) | 280.22691 | 0.15094 | 53.06541 | 0.99915 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 62.02000 / (1 + e^(-0.16328(t - 49.94516))) | 62.02000 | 0.16328 | 49.94516 | 0.99864 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 65.09053 / (1 + e^(-0.17161(t - 55.51142))) | 65.09053 | 0.17161 | 55.51142 | 0.99820 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 9.00267 / (1 + e^(-0.21378(t - 54.73423))) | 9.00267 | 0.21378 | 54.73423 | 0.99770 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4521.78994 / (1 + e^(-0.15456(t - 53.26993))) | 4521.78994 | 0.15456 | 53.26993 | 0.99811 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 22.01931 / (1 + e^(-0.14021(t - 52.31786))) | 22.01931 | 0.14021 | 52.31786 | 0.99787 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.1% | 52 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.1% | 52 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 1.1% | 52 | 41 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 51 | 1 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 6.8% | 311 | 272 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 309 | 2 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 16.1% | 738 | 659 | 53 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 730 | 5 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 40.7% | 1,869 | 1,710 | 106 | 30 | 21 | 2 | 1,846 | 10 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 52.9% | 2,429 | 2,209 | 150 | 39 | 27 | 4 | 2,398 | 12 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 71.6% | 3,288 | 2,988 | 202 | 53 | 38 | 7 | 3,243 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 77.8% | 3,576 | 3,239 | 222 | 53 | 55 | 7 | 3,514 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 90.1% | 4,141 | 3,757 | 255 | 60 | 60 | 9 | 4,072 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,594 | 4,178 | 280 | 62 | 65 | 9 | 4,520 | 22 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex