BOLIVAR (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11007. 122 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 22361.92647 / (1 + e^(-0.15987(t - 43.03059))) | 22361.92647 | 0.15987 | 43.03059 | 0.99923 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 19396.44591 / (1 + e^(-0.15862(t - 43.06234))) | 19396.44591 | 0.15862 | 43.06234 | 0.99921 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1553.80509 / (1 + e^(-0.17896(t - 41.66414))) | 1553.80509 | 0.17896 | 41.66414 | 0.99831 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 544.14893 / (1 + e^(-0.14834(t - 44.25909))) | 544.14893 | 0.14834 | 44.25909 | 0.99919 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 790.87291 / (1 + e^(-0.16822(t - 44.29700))) | 790.87291 | 0.16822 | 44.29700 | 0.99894 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 76.96898 / (1 + e^(-0.16117(t - 41.85653))) | 76.96898 | 0.16117 | 41.85653 | 0.99873 |
| Validos | y(t) = 21494.07422 / (1 + e^(-0.15959(t - 42.98669))) | 21494.07422 | 0.15959 | 42.98669 | 0.99921 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 122.00820 / (1 + e^(-0.14147(t - 41.90353))) | 122.00820 | 0.14147 | 41.90353 | 0.99912 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 182 | 179 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.4% | 761 | 690 | 26 | 18 | 24 | 3 | 734 | 9 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.3% | 1,860 | 1,710 | 56 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 1,813 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 19.1% | 4,268 | 3,719 | 347 | 95 | 91 | 16 | 4,161 | 29 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 38.8% | 8,687 | 7,503 | 684 | 193 | 274 | 33 | 8,380 | 54 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 49.9% | 11,166 | 9,589 | 881 | 267 | 385 | 44 | 10,737 | 65 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 72.5% | 16,220 | 14,105 | 1,193 | 344 | 523 | 55 | 15,642 | 89 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 85.8% | 19,191 | 16,620 | 1,407 | 435 | 658 | 71 | 18,462 | 104 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.1% | 21,048 | 18,198 | 1,523 | 505 | 750 | 72 | 20,226 | 114 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.2% | 21,306 | 18,429 | 1,525 | 523 | 754 | 75 | 20,477 | 116 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.4% | 22,013 | 19,096 | 1,533 | 536 | 772 | 76 | 21,165 | 120 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.8% | 22,108 | 19,159 | 1,547 | 538 | 788 | 76 | 21,244 | 121 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 98.8% | 22,108 | 19,159 | 1,547 | 538 | 788 | 76 | 21,244 | 121 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 98.8% | 22,108 | 19,159 | 1,547 | 538 | 788 | 76 | 21,244 | 121 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 22,372 | 19,406 | 1,554 | 544 | 791 | 77 | 21,504 | 122 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex