POPAYAN (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11001. 785 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 200258.84013 / (1 + e^(-0.18831(t - 46.93500))) | 200258.84013 | 0.18831 | 46.93500 | 0.99981 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 128234.17829 / (1 + e^(-0.18738(t - 46.65672))) | 128234.17829 | 0.18738 | 46.65672 | 0.99979 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 66446.62956 / (1 + e^(-0.19068(t - 47.45674))) | 66446.62956 | 0.19068 | 47.45674 | 0.99982 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 3194.68587 / (1 + e^(-0.18767(t - 46.87575))) | 3194.68587 | 0.18767 | 46.87575 | 0.99985 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 2169.34367 / (1 + e^(-0.18972(t - 47.13176))) | 2169.34367 | 0.18972 | 47.13176 | 0.99986 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 212.80710 / (1 + e^(-0.21218(t - 48.49894))) | 212.80710 | 0.21218 | 48.49894 | 0.99959 |
| Validos | y(t) = 197876.63299 / (1 + e^(-0.18828(t - 46.93102))) | 197876.63299 | 0.18828 | 46.93102 | 0.99981 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 784.86023 / (1 + e^(-0.17893(t - 46.26484))) | 784.86023 | 0.17893 | 46.26484 | 0.99995 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 71 | 52 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.3% | 564 | 409 | 133 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 560 | 12 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.6% | 3,270 | 2,278 | 897 | 55 | 39 | 1 | 3,230 | 30 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 6.0% | 12,013 | 8,243 | 3,424 | 208 | 130 | 8 | 11,875 | 69 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 18.8% | 37,736 | 25,428 | 11,301 | 606 | 380 | 21 | 37,335 | 173 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 37.2% | 74,596 | 49,647 | 22,902 | 1,196 | 792 | 59 | 73,745 | 316 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 60.6% | 121,347 | 78,999 | 38,995 | 1,944 | 1,294 | 115 | 119,938 | 490 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 78.3% | 156,863 | 101,510 | 50,991 | 2,505 | 1,691 | 166 | 155,006 | 625 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.3% | 178,926 | 114,844 | 59,099 | 2,861 | 1,938 | 184 | 176,804 | 706 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 95.4% | 191,084 | 122,497 | 63,266 | 3,051 | 2,068 | 202 | 188,814 | 751 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.5% | 197,253 | 126,295 | 65,477 | 3,141 | 2,132 | 208 | 194,913 | 773 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 99.2% | 198,688 | 127,253 | 65,897 | 3,168 | 2,160 | 210 | 196,318 | 779 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.7% | 199,740 | 127,909 | 66,264 | 3,188 | 2,166 | 213 | 197,361 | 783 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 99.9% | 200,055 | 128,071 | 66,410 | 3,192 | 2,169 | 213 | 197,673 | 784 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 99.9% | 200,055 | 128,071 | 66,410 | 3,192 | 2,169 | 213 | 197,673 | 784 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 99.9% | 200,055 | 128,071 | 66,410 | 3,192 | 2,169 | 213 | 197,673 | 784 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 200,345 | 128,296 | 66,470 | 3,196 | 2,170 | 213 | 197,962 | 785 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex