MERCADERES (CAUCA)
Municipio code 11046. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 9657.25248 / (1 + e^(-0.14734(t - 38.73329))) | 9657.25248 | 0.14734 | 38.73329 | 0.99592 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 7842.54610 / (1 + e^(-0.14490(t - 38.87062))) | 7842.54610 | 0.14490 | 38.87062 | 0.99539 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1363.92633 / (1 + e^(-0.15814(t - 37.77789))) | 1363.92633 | 0.15814 | 37.77789 | 0.99745 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 237.89755 / (1 + e^(-0.13807(t - 39.56981))) | 237.89755 | 0.13807 | 39.56981 | 0.98748 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 155.81072 / (1 + e^(-0.15666(t - 39.61110))) | 155.81072 | 0.15666 | 39.61110 | 0.99780 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 57.84381 / (1 + e^(-0.19448(t - 39.89001))) | 57.84381 | 0.19448 | 39.89001 | 0.99624 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9443.59078 / (1 + e^(-0.14699(t - 38.71074))) | 9443.59078 | 0.14699 | 38.71074 | 0.99584 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.85726 / (1 + e^(-0.15233(t - 36.77698))) | 47.85726 | 0.15233 | 36.77698 | 0.99616 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 6.1% | 595 | 463 | 118 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 587 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 15.6% | 1,508 | 1,206 | 261 | 19 | 20 | 2 | 1,486 | 11 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 38.5% | 3,729 | 2,994 | 576 | 88 | 54 | 17 | 3,658 | 22 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 52.6% | 5,098 | 4,163 | 699 | 138 | 72 | 26 | 5,000 | 28 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 69.7% | 6,748 | 5,455 | 974 | 167 | 110 | 42 | 6,596 | 36 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 82.1% | 7,952 | 6,397 | 1,208 | 180 | 119 | 48 | 7,785 | 41 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 87.3% | 8,458 | 6,814 | 1,252 | 198 | 141 | 53 | 8,264 | 43 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.2% | 8,638 | 6,943 | 1,295 | 199 | 148 | 53 | 8,437 | 44 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 89.2% | 8,638 | 6,943 | 1,295 | 199 | 148 | 53 | 8,437 | 44 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 95.3% | 9,227 | 7,497 | 1,299 | 223 | 150 | 58 | 9,019 | 46 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,686 | 7,867 | 1,366 | 239 | 156 | 58 | 9,472 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex