CALDAS — Department
27 municipios, ordered by: alphabetical (asc). Aggregate curve for the department.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 531829.90181 / (1 + e^(-0.20717(t - 34.02842))) | 531829.90181 | 0.20717 | 34.02842 | 0.99982 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 203654.19600 / (1 + e^(-0.20974(t - 34.04806))) | 203654.19600 | 0.20974 | 34.04806 | 0.99980 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 306707.03928 / (1 + e^(-0.20532(t - 34.02043))) | 306707.03928 | 0.20532 | 34.02043 | 0.99982 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 11467.83594 / (1 + e^(-0.20789(t - 34.22810))) | 11467.83594 | 0.20789 | 34.22810 | 0.99985 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 8893.85363 / (1 + e^(-0.21285(t - 33.72240))) | 8893.85363 | 0.21285 | 33.72240 | 0.99984 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1106.86732 / (1 + e^(-0.20651(t - 32.84608))) | 1106.86732 | 0.20651 | 32.84608 | 0.99957 |
| Validos | y(t) = 521829.20786 / (1 + e^(-0.20709(t - 34.03619))) | 521829.20786 | 0.20709 | 34.03619 | 0.99982 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 2492.08943 / (1 + e^(-0.19681(t - 32.69008))) | 2492.08943 | 0.19681 | 32.69008 | 0.99989 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 167 | 74 | 81 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 8 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.4% | 2,139 | 809 | 1,239 | 56 | 33 | 2 | 2,104 | 40 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.2% | 11,703 | 4,198 | 7,021 | 255 | 203 | 26 | 11,474 | 128 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 10.5% | 55,985 | 19,757 | 33,985 | 1,153 | 939 | 151 | 54,895 | 384 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 27.5% | 146,509 | 55,411 | 85,154 | 3,066 | 2,508 | 370 | 143,631 | 845 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 49.9% | 265,664 | 102,326 | 152,566 | 5,582 | 4,573 | 617 | 260,474 | 1,392 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 73.0% | 388,540 | 148,849 | 223,847 | 8,311 | 6,684 | 849 | 381,007 | 1,919 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 88.6% | 471,097 | 180,369 | 271,644 | 10,114 | 7,964 | 1,006 | 462,127 | 2,255 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 95.7% | 508,913 | 194,965 | 293,349 | 10,992 | 8,532 | 1,075 | 499,306 | 2,405 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.2% | 522,536 | 200,373 | 301,017 | 11,274 | 8,781 | 1,091 | 512,664 | 2,457 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 99.3% | 528,441 | 202,160 | 304,929 | 11,393 | 8,857 | 1,102 | 518,482 | 2,479 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.6% | 529,970 | 202,775 | 305,793 | 11,425 | 8,874 | 1,103 | 519,993 | 2,485 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.8% | 531,062 | 203,213 | 306,415 | 11,442 | 8,887 | 1,105 | 521,070 | 2,489 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 531,910 | 203,704 | 306,735 | 11,469 | 8,895 | 1,107 | 521,908 | 2,492 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex