PENSILVANIA (CALDAS)
Municipio code 09085. 53 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 9475.35499 / (1 + e^(-0.24710(t - 32.70878))) | 9475.35499 | 0.24710 | 32.70878 | 0.99689 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 2234.71738 / (1 + e^(-0.26394(t - 31.85738))) | 2234.71738 | 0.26394 | 31.85738 | 0.99758 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6884.91358 / (1 + e^(-0.23969(t - 33.01665))) | 6884.91358 | 0.23969 | 33.01665 | 0.99650 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 198.62794 / (1 + e^(-0.30701(t - 32.53302))) | 198.62794 | 0.30701 | 32.53302 | 0.99726 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 128.79015 / (1 + e^(-0.25093(t - 33.12581))) | 128.79015 | 0.25093 | 33.12581 | 0.99373 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 28.99945 / (1 + e^(-0.23174(t - 30.16943))) | 28.99945 | 0.23174 | 30.16943 | 0.99151 |
| Validos | y(t) = 9317.55456 / (1 + e^(-0.24718(t - 32.71072))) | 9317.55456 | 0.24718 | 32.71072 | 0.99690 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 52.93734 / (1 + e^(-0.19109(t - 31.19015))) | 52.93734 | 0.19109 | 31.19015 | 0.99670 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.2% | 22 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.5% | 48 | 22 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 2.5% | 236 | 69 | 152 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 228 | 5 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 14.8% | 1,408 | 385 | 966 | 25 | 23 | 9 | 1,376 | 13 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 25.0% | 2,375 | 633 | 1,658 | 45 | 30 | 9 | 2,336 | 18 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 57.0% | 5,416 | 1,390 | 3,823 | 118 | 63 | 22 | 5,331 | 33 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 88.1% | 8,371 | 2,071 | 5,969 | 186 | 118 | 27 | 8,226 | 47 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 90.6% | 8,609 | 2,113 | 6,162 | 187 | 120 | 27 | 8,462 | 48 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 91.7% | 8,711 | 2,128 | 6,246 | 189 | 120 | 28 | 8,563 | 49 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.1% | 8,938 | 2,161 | 6,437 | 190 | 121 | 29 | 8,788 | 50 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 97.7% | 9,280 | 2,209 | 6,724 | 193 | 125 | 29 | 9,126 | 52 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 9,497 | 2,237 | 6,903 | 199 | 129 | 29 | 9,339 | 53 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex