MARMATO (CALDAS)
Municipio code 09058. 26 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3844.18280 / (1 + e^(-0.25378(t - 30.53723))) | 3844.18280 | 0.25378 | 30.53723 | 0.99953 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1703.68504 / (1 + e^(-0.26424(t - 29.67480))) | 1703.68504 | 0.26424 | 29.67480 | 0.99934 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1991.61298 / (1 + e^(-0.24831(t - 31.31009))) | 1991.61298 | 0.24831 | 31.31009 | 0.99953 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 78.00018 / (1 + e^(-0.23928(t - 30.86263))) | 78.00018 | 0.23928 | 30.86263 | 0.99896 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 60.00397 / (1 + e^(-0.28409(t - 29.45601))) | 60.00397 | 0.28409 | 29.45601 | 0.99956 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 10.98951 / (1 + e^(-0.22363(t - 32.14193))) | 10.98951 | 0.22363 | 32.14193 | 0.99559 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3773.20512 / (1 + e^(-0.25347(t - 30.55134))) | 3773.20512 | 0.25347 | 30.55134 | 0.99952 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 25.99765 / (1 + e^(-0.23194(t - 29.09242))) | 25.99765 | 0.23194 | 29.09242 | 0.99971 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.3% | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.8% | 71 | 38 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 67 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 16.7% | 643 | 345 | 274 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 633 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 40.7% | 1,566 | 764 | 739 | 30 | 29 | 4 | 1,533 | 13 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 71.7% | 2,757 | 1,319 | 1,329 | 55 | 47 | 7 | 2,703 | 20 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 87.4% | 3,362 | 1,520 | 1,713 | 65 | 55 | 9 | 3,298 | 23 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.3% | 3,664 | 1,662 | 1,858 | 75 | 60 | 9 | 3,595 | 25 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,845 | 1,704 | 1,992 | 78 | 60 | 11 | 3,774 | 26 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex