NORCASIA (CALDAS)
Municipio code 09078. 21 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 3485.98591 / (1 + e^(-0.27720(t - 23.06744))) | 3485.98591 | 0.27720 | 23.06744 | 0.99795 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1221.32785 / (1 + e^(-0.26686(t - 22.53288))) | 1221.32785 | 0.26686 | 22.53288 | 0.99668 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2111.71741 / (1 + e^(-0.28437(t - 23.43312))) | 2111.71741 | 0.28437 | 23.43312 | 0.99832 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 80.92233 / (1 + e^(-0.30901(t - 22.04843))) | 80.92233 | 0.30901 | 22.04843 | 0.99692 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 66.92986 / (1 + e^(-0.29606(t - 21.97621))) | 66.92986 | 0.29606 | 21.97621 | 0.99555 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00343 / (1 + e^(-0.24545(t - 24.31703))) | 5.00343 | 0.24545 | 24.31703 | 0.98525 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3414.04474 / (1 + e^(-0.27710(t - 23.08691))) | 3414.04474 | 0.27710 | 23.08691 | 0.99799 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.99018 / (1 + e^(-0.25101(t - 22.42033))) | 20.99018 | 0.25101 | 22.42033 | 0.99710 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 1.2% | 43 | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 26.6% | 929 | 395 | 487 | 24 | 22 | 1 | 906 | 7 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 58.8% | 2,051 | 744 | 1,204 | 55 | 45 | 3 | 2,003 | 13 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 80.5% | 2,806 | 1,009 | 1,670 | 68 | 56 | 3 | 2,747 | 17 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 93.3% | 3,255 | 1,113 | 1,999 | 76 | 62 | 5 | 3,188 | 19 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,487 | 1,222 | 2,112 | 81 | 67 | 5 | 3,415 | 21 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex