MANIZALES (CALDAS)
Municipio code 09001. 1013 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 242392.90532 / (1 + e^(-0.22688(t - 37.28816))) | 242392.90532 | 0.22688 | 37.28816 | 0.99987 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 103573.01110 / (1 + e^(-0.22435(t - 36.86783))) | 103573.01110 | 0.22435 | 36.86783 | 0.99980 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 128723.43102 / (1 + e^(-0.22951(t - 37.63379))) | 128723.43102 | 0.22951 | 37.63379 | 0.99991 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 6097.33100 / (1 + e^(-0.23133(t - 37.23965))) | 6097.33100 | 0.23133 | 37.23965 | 0.99986 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 3697.89824 / (1 + e^(-0.22903(t - 36.91980))) | 3697.89824 | 0.22903 | 36.91980 | 0.99978 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 298.93393 / (1 + e^(-0.22841(t - 37.44168))) | 298.93393 | 0.22841 | 37.44168 | 0.99976 |
| Validos | y(t) = 238396.04592 / (1 + e^(-0.22685(t - 37.29368))) | 238396.04592 | 0.22685 | 37.29368 | 0.99987 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 1012.82489 / (1 + e^(-0.21839(t - 36.46033))) | 1012.82489 | 0.21839 | 36.46033 | 0.99992 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 106 | 57 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 4 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 835 | 483 | 314 | 26 | 11 | 1 | 823 | 14 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 2.7% | 6,607 | 2,971 | 3,378 | 154 | 91 | 13 | 6,503 | 47 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 13.3% | 32,312 | 15,130 | 15,873 | 767 | 505 | 37 | 31,770 | 174 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 33.0% | 79,930 | 37,034 | 39,482 | 2,010 | 1,305 | 99 | 78,526 | 378 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 59.7% | 144,671 | 63,849 | 74,678 | 3,689 | 2,286 | 169 | 142,216 | 640 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 81.6% | 197,787 | 85,481 | 104,013 | 4,987 | 3,058 | 248 | 194,481 | 847 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.2% | 225,918 | 96,835 | 119,652 | 5,705 | 3,445 | 281 | 222,192 | 953 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 97.3% | 235,913 | 100,997 | 125,061 | 5,937 | 3,626 | 292 | 231,995 | 990 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 98.8% | 239,684 | 102,299 | 127,385 | 6,034 | 3,671 | 295 | 235,718 | 1,003 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 99.3% | 240,832 | 102,835 | 127,962 | 6,057 | 3,682 | 296 | 236,854 | 1,007 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 99.7% | 241,631 | 103,128 | 128,442 | 6,073 | 3,691 | 297 | 237,643 | 1,010 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 242,479 | 103,619 | 128,762 | 6,100 | 3,699 | 299 | 238,481 | 1,013 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex