MANZANARES (CALDAS)
Municipio code 09055. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8693.59729 / (1 + e^(-0.24067(t - 31.81505))) | 8693.59729 | 0.24067 | 31.81505 | 0.99921 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1798.21557 / (1 + e^(-0.27220(t - 30.74243))) | 1798.21557 | 0.27220 | 30.74243 | 0.99916 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6581.54853 / (1 + e^(-0.23504(t - 32.18530))) | 6581.54853 | 0.23504 | 32.18530 | 0.99924 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 169.91456 / (1 + e^(-0.24770(t - 30.23607))) | 169.91456 | 0.24770 | 30.23607 | 0.99848 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 121.95423 / (1 + e^(-0.24659(t - 30.28451))) | 121.95423 | 0.24659 | 30.28451 | 0.99908 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 21.99450 / (1 + e^(-0.26947(t - 33.81605))) | 21.99450 | 0.26947 | 33.81605 | 0.99846 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8549.63688 / (1 + e^(-0.24064(t - 31.83120))) | 8549.63688 | 0.24064 | 31.83120 | 0.99921 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.99696 / (1 + e^(-0.24110(t - 30.55952))) | 47.99696 | 0.24110 | 30.55952 | 0.99957 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.3% | 110 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 108 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 11.7% | 1,013 | 222 | 739 | 31 | 21 | 0 | 992 | 8 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 35.7% | 3,102 | 712 | 2,258 | 73 | 54 | 5 | 3,043 | 20 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 64.3% | 5,590 | 1,309 | 4,054 | 127 | 88 | 12 | 5,490 | 34 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 81.1% | 7,050 | 1,545 | 5,240 | 143 | 105 | 17 | 6,928 | 41 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 95.2% | 8,273 | 1,734 | 6,241 | 162 | 116 | 20 | 8,137 | 46 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,693 | 1,799 | 6,580 | 170 | 122 | 22 | 8,549 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex