EL CALVARIO (META)
Municipio code 52025. 7 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 957.17519 / (1 + e^(-0.22193(t - 32.52454))) | 957.17519 | 0.22193 | 32.52454 | 0.99817 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 142.21855 / (1 + e^(-0.23225(t - 34.16149))) | 142.21855 | 0.23225 | 34.16149 | 0.99702 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 785.89906 / (1 + e^(-0.22189(t - 32.18470))) | 785.89906 | 0.22189 | 32.18470 | 0.99834 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 19.03453 / (1 + e^(-0.20542(t - 33.30626))) | 19.03453 | 0.20542 | 33.30626 | 0.99561 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 9.00770 / (1 + e^(-0.29812(t - 35.45953))) | 9.00770 | 0.29812 | 35.45953 | 0.99725 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 1.00000 / (1 + e^(-9.64773(t - 26.49971))) | 1.00000 | 9.64773 | 26.49971 | 1.00000 |
| Validos | y(t) = 947.16723 / (1 + e^(-0.22143(t - 32.50030))) | 947.16723 | 0.22143 | 32.50030 | 0.99816 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 7.00565 / (1 + e^(-0.16628(t - 26.93209))) | 7.00565 | 0.16628 | 26.93209 | 0.99241 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 7.9% | 76 | 8 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 13.9% | 133 | 15 | 115 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 3 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 32.0% | 306 | 38 | 260 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 304 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 56.8% | 543 | 64 | 465 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 538 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 77.4% | 740 | 102 | 617 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 733 | 6 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 956 | 142 | 785 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 946 | 7 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex