EL CASTILLO (META)
Municipio code 52027. 20 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3911.33674 / (1 + e^(-0.25364(t - 30.67047))) | 3911.33674 | 0.25364 | 30.67047 | 0.99721 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1895.58179 / (1 + e^(-0.23088(t - 28.87223))) | 1895.58179 | 0.23088 | 28.87223 | 0.99508 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1888.73241 / (1 + e^(-0.31002(t - 32.20868))) | 1888.73241 | 0.31002 | 32.20868 | 0.99873 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 77.05602 / (1 + e^(-0.32145(t - 31.84006))) | 77.05602 | 0.32145 | 31.84006 | 0.99928 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 46.04632 / (1 + e^(-0.26321(t - 31.38528))) | 46.04632 | 0.26321 | 31.38528 | 0.99695 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 3.00760 / (1 + e^(-0.22009(t - 32.54778))) | 3.00760 | 0.22009 | 32.54778 | 0.96920 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3862.27956 / (1 + e^(-0.25362(t - 30.66050))) | 3862.27956 | 0.25362 | 30.66050 | 0.99722 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 20.02344 / (1 + e^(-0.22321(t - 29.34653))) | 20.02344 | 0.22321 | 29.34653 | 0.99684 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.8% | 33 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.8% | 33 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 22.2% | 866 | 629 | 219 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 855 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 38.2% | 1,491 | 938 | 515 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 1,476 | 9 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 65.4% | 2,555 | 1,344 | 1,131 | 49 | 30 | 1 | 2,524 | 14 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 95.0% | 3,710 | 1,819 | 1,773 | 73 | 42 | 3 | 3,665 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,907 | 1,894 | 1,887 | 77 | 46 | 3 | 3,858 | 20 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex