CUMARAL (META)
Municipio code 52020. 63 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 14311.51127 / (1 + e^(-0.25895(t - 38.62089))) | 14311.51127 | 0.25895 | 38.62089 | 0.99856 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4807.50132 / (1 + e^(-0.24769(t - 38.38769))) | 4807.50132 | 0.24769 | 38.38769 | 0.99836 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 9101.18617 / (1 + e^(-0.26614(t - 38.74181))) | 9101.18617 | 0.26614 | 38.74181 | 0.99866 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 236.91306 / (1 + e^(-0.22852(t - 38.52997))) | 236.91306 | 0.22852 | 38.52997 | 0.99803 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 154.91880 / (1 + e^(-0.25385(t - 38.57533))) | 154.91880 | 0.25385 | 38.57533 | 0.99891 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 11.00971 / (1 + e^(-0.41925(t - 39.75260))) | 11.00971 | 0.41925 | 39.75260 | 0.99733 |
| Validos | y(t) = 14145.58594 / (1 + e^(-0.25894(t - 38.62054))) | 14145.58594 | 0.25894 | 38.62054 | 0.99856 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 63.00408 / (1 + e^(-0.22418(t - 37.21312))) | 63.00408 | 0.22418 | 37.21312 | 0.99817 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 60 | 8 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 3.7% | 536 | 204 | 311 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 529 | 6 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.8% | 831 | 352 | 448 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 821 | 8 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 27.1% | 3,885 | 1,393 | 2,376 | 72 | 42 | 2 | 3,841 | 22 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.4% | 6,785 | 2,326 | 4,271 | 109 | 75 | 4 | 6,706 | 34 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 84.4% | 12,092 | 4,097 | 7,659 | 197 | 129 | 10 | 11,953 | 55 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 93.8% | 13,431 | 4,463 | 8,593 | 218 | 146 | 11 | 13,274 | 60 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 95.9% | 13,731 | 4,600 | 8,744 | 227 | 149 | 11 | 13,571 | 61 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.9% | 13,731 | 4,600 | 8,744 | 227 | 149 | 11 | 13,571 | 61 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 14,321 | 4,811 | 9,107 | 237 | 155 | 11 | 14,155 | 63 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex