CUBARRAL (META)
Municipio code 52015. 17 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4122.75082 / (1 + e^(-0.18082(t - 38.55264))) | 4122.75082 | 0.18082 | 38.55264 | 0.99815 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 948.44581 / (1 + e^(-0.19892(t - 37.91880))) | 948.44581 | 0.19892 | 37.91880 | 0.99836 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3097.39387 / (1 + e^(-0.17651(t - 38.74474))) | 3097.39387 | 0.17651 | 38.74474 | 0.99805 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 51.05575 / (1 + e^(-0.16334(t - 40.16342))) | 51.05575 | 0.16334 | 40.16342 | 0.99738 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 21.98438 / (1 + e^(-0.17297(t - 36.65378))) | 21.98438 | 0.17297 | 36.65378 | 0.99501 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 4.01078 / (1 + e^(-0.15661(t - 45.33764))) | 4.01078 | 0.15661 | 45.33764 | 0.98220 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4096.74819 / (1 + e^(-0.18101(t - 38.55688))) | 4096.74819 | 0.18101 | 38.55688 | 0.99816 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 17.00585 / (1 + e^(-0.18194(t - 37.72412))) | 17.00585 | 0.18194 | 37.72412 | 0.99763 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 20.9% | 862 | 197 | 648 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 855 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 31.6% | 1,304 | 298 | 980 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1,294 | 6 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 49.9% | 2,056 | 501 | 1,520 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 2,042 | 9 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 73.6% | 3,032 | 743 | 2,237 | 33 | 18 | 1 | 3,013 | 13 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 86.2% | 3,553 | 850 | 2,641 | 41 | 18 | 3 | 3,532 | 15 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 93.1% | 3,835 | 917 | 2,849 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 3,812 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,121 | 948 | 3,096 | 51 | 22 | 4 | 4,095 | 17 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex