CASTILLA LA NUEVA (META)
Municipio code 52010. 40 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 10259.23440 / (1 + e^(-0.20244(t - 43.77410))) | 10259.23440 | 0.20244 | 43.77410 | 0.99932 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 3833.31238 / (1 + e^(-0.20455(t - 43.73529))) | 3833.31238 | 0.20455 | 43.73529 | 0.99912 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 6011.10088 / (1 + e^(-0.20088(t - 43.77374))) | 6011.10088 | 0.20088 | 43.77374 | 0.99935 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 169.85352 / (1 + e^(-0.21235(t - 43.13023))) | 169.85352 | 0.21235 | 43.13023 | 0.99836 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 241.94074 / (1 + e^(-0.20408(t - 44.82769))) | 241.94074 | 0.20408 | 44.82769 | 0.99924 |
| No marcados | fit not available (flat series or no convergence) |
| Validos | y(t) = 10014.29549 / (1 + e^(-0.20240(t - 43.74870))) | 10014.29549 | 0.20240 | 43.74870 | 0.99932 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 39.98898 / (1 + e^(-0.19977(t - 43.39042))) | 39.98898 | 0.19977 | 43.39042 | 0.99946 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.6% | 57 | 31 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.2% | 1,154 | 414 | 702 | 16 | 22 | 0 | 1,132 | 5 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 28.5% | 2,925 | 1,052 | 1,768 | 50 | 55 | 0 | 2,870 | 12 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 53.2% | 5,458 | 2,107 | 3,130 | 103 | 116 | 2 | 5,340 | 22 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 73.7% | 7,568 | 2,802 | 4,464 | 126 | 173 | 3 | 7,392 | 30 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 86.8% | 8,910 | 3,364 | 5,191 | 150 | 202 | 3 | 8,705 | 35 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 92.5% | 9,495 | 3,511 | 5,603 | 157 | 221 | 3 | 9,271 | 37 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 10,262 | 3,835 | 6,012 | 170 | 242 | 3 | 10,017 | 40 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex