LA JAGUA DEL PILAR (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48012. 16 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 3085.92029 / (1 + e^(-0.29434(t - 41.91000))) | 3085.92029 | 0.29434 | 41.91000 | 0.99867 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1793.68276 / (1 + e^(-0.29060(t - 42.27289))) | 1793.68276 | 0.29060 | 42.27289 | 0.99872 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 1248.22524 / (1 + e^(-0.30376(t - 41.47723))) | 1248.22524 | 0.30376 | 41.47723 | 0.99860 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 24.01308 / (1 + e^(-0.25100(t - 38.72247))) | 24.01308 | 0.25100 | 38.72247 | 0.99787 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 15.00031 / (1 + e^(-0.29101(t - 40.45066))) | 15.00031 | 0.29101 | 40.45066 | 0.99724 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.00326 / (1 + e^(-0.47095(t - 41.33498))) | 5.00326 | 0.47095 | 41.33498 | 0.99496 |
| Validos | y(t) = 3065.91906 / (1 + e^(-0.29425(t - 41.91872))) | 3065.91906 | 0.29425 | 41.91872 | 0.99868 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 16.01059 / (1 + e^(-0.26313(t - 40.81048))) | 16.01059 | 0.26313 | 40.81048 | 0.99706 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 1.2% | 37 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.2% | 37 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 1.2% | 37 | 22 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 1 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 13.8% | 425 | 233 | 181 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 421 | 3 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 25.2% | 778 | 421 | 340 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 772 | 5 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 68.8% | 2,122 | 1,182 | 904 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 2,106 | 12 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 85.2% | 2,628 | 1,503 | 1,085 | 22 | 13 | 5 | 2,610 | 14 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 3,085 | 1,793 | 1,248 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 3,065 | 16 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex