HATONUEVO (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48009. 48 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 8879.13445 / (1 + e^(-0.19869(t - 39.66894))) | 8879.13445 | 0.19869 | 39.66894 | 0.99882 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 6434.56809 / (1 + e^(-0.19817(t - 39.67577))) | 6434.56809 | 0.19817 | 39.67577 | 0.99874 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 2342.61585 / (1 + e^(-0.19971(t - 39.61860))) | 2342.61585 | 0.19971 | 39.61860 | 0.99902 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 59.95481 / (1 + e^(-0.19708(t - 40.04174))) | 59.95481 | 0.19708 | 40.04174 | 0.99618 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 27.99691 / (1 + e^(-0.21732(t - 40.45771))) | 27.99691 | 0.21732 | 40.45771 | 0.99890 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 13.99099 / (1 + e^(-0.27996(t - 41.55347))) | 13.99099 | 0.27996 | 41.55347 | 0.99855 |
| Validos | y(t) = 8837.13206 / (1 + e^(-0.19858(t - 39.66293))) | 8837.13206 | 0.19858 | 39.66293 | 0.99882 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 47.97969 / (1 + e^(-0.20533(t - 39.04528))) | 47.97969 | 0.20533 | 39.04528 | 0.99880 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 7.5% | 665 | 473 | 188 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 662 | 4 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 27.5% | 2,441 | 1,780 | 637 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2,434 | 14 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 47.2% | 4,190 | 3,029 | 1,118 | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4,174 | 24 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 71.6% | 6,360 | 4,620 | 1,667 | 44 | 19 | 10 | 6,331 | 36 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 83.8% | 7,444 | 5,372 | 1,987 | 48 | 25 | 12 | 7,407 | 41 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 90.7% | 8,056 | 5,834 | 2,132 | 52 | 25 | 13 | 8,018 | 44 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 8,881 | 6,436 | 2,343 | 60 | 28 | 14 | 8,839 | 48 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex