MAICAO (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48010. 401 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
| Total votes | y(t) = 62697.79075 / (1 + e^(-0.20619(t - 43.21985))) | 62697.79075 | 0.20619 | 43.21985 | 0.99992 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 35296.92271 / (1 + e^(-0.20916(t - 43.10060))) | 35296.92271 | 0.20916 | 43.10060 | 0.99992 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 26052.73017 / (1 + e^(-0.20242(t - 43.40726))) | 26052.73017 | 0.20242 | 43.40726 | 0.99992 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 746.68228 / (1 + e^(-0.21578(t - 42.95277))) | 746.68228 | 0.21578 | 42.95277 | 0.99989 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 483.82390 / (1 + e^(-0.19435(t - 42.69515))) | 483.82390 | 0.19435 | 42.69515 | 0.99988 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 117.85443 / (1 + e^(-0.18933(t - 42.14394))) | 117.85443 | 0.18933 | 42.14394 | 0.99945 |
| Validos | y(t) = 62096.07756 / (1 + e^(-0.20634(t - 43.22584))) | 62096.07756 | 0.20634 | 43.22584 | 0.99992 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 401.03512 / (1 + e^(-0.20124(t - 42.09268))) | 401.03512 | 0.20124 | 42.09268 | 0.99981 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.3% | 188 | 117 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 3 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.7% | 1,095 | 637 | 434 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1,084 | 13 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 5.2% | 3,231 | 1,826 | 1,329 | 35 | 33 | 8 | 3,190 | 32 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 13.8% | 8,636 | 4,889 | 3,551 | 103 | 75 | 18 | 8,543 | 72 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 29.2% | 18,309 | 10,353 | 7,536 | 218 | 157 | 45 | 18,107 | 134 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 53.5% | 33,536 | 19,124 | 13,654 | 410 | 278 | 70 | 33,188 | 235 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 77.0% | 48,330 | 27,457 | 19,815 | 599 | 367 | 92 | 47,871 | 324 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 91.0% | 57,079 | 32,368 | 23,488 | 680 | 438 | 105 | 56,536 | 374 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 96.0% | 60,209 | 33,959 | 24,951 | 719 | 468 | 112 | 59,629 | 390 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.5% | 61,189 | 34,513 | 25,355 | 736 | 472 | 113 | 60,604 | 395 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 98.7% | 61,920 | 34,890 | 25,695 | 740 | 479 | 116 | 61,325 | 398 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 98.7% | 61,920 | 34,890 | 25,695 | 740 | 479 | 116 | 61,325 | 398 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 99.7% | 62,514 | 35,192 | 25,978 | 745 | 481 | 118 | 61,915 | 400 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 62,729 | 35,313 | 26,067 | 747 | 484 | 118 | 62,127 | 401 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex