FONSECA (LA GUAJIRA)
Municipio code 48007. 99 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 18976.38304 / (1 + e^(-0.25438(t - 41.51056))) | 18976.38304 | 0.25438 | 41.51056 | 0.99971 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 12834.61630 / (1 + e^(-0.23950(t - 41.56272))) | 12834.61630 | 0.23950 | 41.56272 | 0.99953 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 5853.05860 / (1 + e^(-0.28925(t - 41.49001))) | 5853.05860 | 0.28925 | 41.49001 | 0.99993 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 189.86680 / (1 + e^(-0.26024(t - 40.32925))) | 189.86680 | 0.26024 | 40.32925 | 0.99982 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 91.93253 / (1 + e^(-0.33362(t - 40.03025))) | 91.93253 | 0.33362 | 40.03025 | 0.99971 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 7.99373 / (1 + e^(-0.14543(t - 43.91927))) | 7.99373 | 0.14543 | 43.91927 | 0.99569 |
| Validos | y(t) = 18876.51388 / (1 + e^(-0.25417(t - 41.51774))) | 18876.51388 | 0.25417 | 41.51774 | 0.99971 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 98.98048 / (1 + e^(-0.22786(t - 40.39226))) | 98.98048 | 0.22786 | 40.39226 | 0.99952 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.4% | 76 | 55 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 2 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 1.5% | 283 | 201 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 4 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 4.2% | 791 | 584 | 196 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 790 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 11.5% | 2,184 | 1,572 | 573 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 2,173 | 18 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 34.9% | 6,636 | 4,590 | 1,924 | 80 | 39 | 3 | 6,594 | 40 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 65.7% | 12,471 | 8,321 | 3,935 | 138 | 73 | 4 | 12,394 | 69 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 87.4% | 16,612 | 11,077 | 5,274 | 170 | 85 | 6 | 16,521 | 89 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 94.5% | 17,943 | 11,948 | 5,714 | 185 | 90 | 6 | 17,847 | 95 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 95.9% | 18,220 | 12,190 | 5,747 | 185 | 91 | 7 | 18,122 | 96 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.4% | 18,497 | 12,432 | 5,780 | 186 | 92 | 7 | 18,398 | 97 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 18,996 | 12,851 | 5,855 | 190 | 92 | 8 | 18,896 | 99 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex