OROCUE (CASANARE)
Municipio code 46640. 29 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 5685.40904 / (1 + e^(-0.17165(t - 40.87966))) | 5685.40904 | 0.17165 | 40.87966 | 0.99469 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 1525.14963 / (1 + e^(-0.17635(t - 39.84191))) | 1525.14963 | 0.17635 | 39.84191 | 0.99240 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 4049.57556 / (1 + e^(-0.17048(t - 41.27871))) | 4049.57556 | 0.17048 | 41.27871 | 0.99525 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 54.78056 / (1 + e^(-0.18460(t - 40.07851))) | 54.78056 | 0.18460 | 40.07851 | 0.99469 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 38.93521 / (1 + e^(-0.20331(t - 39.33834))) | 38.93521 | 0.20331 | 39.33834 | 0.99547 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 16.90832 / (1 + e^(-0.13346(t - 44.78227))) | 16.90832 | 0.13346 | 44.78227 | 0.99308 |
| Validos | y(t) = 5629.60317 / (1 + e^(-0.17162(t - 40.88088))) | 5629.60317 | 0.17162 | 40.88088 | 0.99469 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 28.82799 / (1 + e^(-0.18021(t - 39.79061))) | 28.82799 | 0.18021 | 39.79061 | 0.99290 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 29.1% | 1,660 | 532 | 1,094 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1,643 | 10 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 45.6% | 2,600 | 762 | 1,787 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 2,575 | 14 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 64.2% | 3,665 | 1,028 | 2,563 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 3,629 | 20 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 80.2% | 4,580 | 1,264 | 3,225 | 45 | 34 | 12 | 4,534 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 83.7% | 4,780 | 1,329 | 3,356 | 48 | 35 | 12 | 4,733 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 89.0% | 5,078 | 1,373 | 3,606 | 49 | 36 | 14 | 5,028 | 26 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 97.8% | 5,581 | 1,474 | 3,998 | 54 | 39 | 16 | 5,526 | 28 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 5,708 | 1,535 | 4,062 | 55 | 39 | 17 | 5,652 | 29 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex