PAZ DE ARIPORO (MORENO) (CASANARE)
Municipio code 46680. 86 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 19621.11914 / (1 + e^(-0.29048(t - 36.24488))) | 19621.11914 | 0.29048 | 36.24488 | 0.99928 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 4037.68034 / (1 + e^(-0.28175(t - 35.67792))) | 4037.68034 | 0.28175 | 35.67792 | 0.99930 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 15168.58616 / (1 + e^(-0.29324(t - 36.40054))) | 15168.58616 | 0.29324 | 36.40054 | 0.99923 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 240.86364 / (1 + e^(-0.27444(t - 35.88964))) | 240.86364 | 0.27444 | 35.88964 | 0.99899 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 143.86068 / (1 + e^(-0.33334(t - 36.13382))) | 143.86068 | 0.33334 | 36.13382 | 0.99927 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 29.96784 / (1 + e^(-0.41497(t - 34.40531))) | 29.96784 | 0.41497 | 34.40531 | 0.99828 |
| Validos | y(t) = 19447.29049 / (1 + e^(-0.29012(t - 36.24870))) | 19447.29049 | 0.29012 | 36.24870 | 0.99928 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 85.98392 / (1 + e^(-0.27501(t - 35.82804))) | 85.98392 | 0.27501 | 35.82804 | 0.99953 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 21 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.1% | 21 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 8.0% | 1,570 | 441 | 1,097 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1,560 | 10 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 36.3% | 7,124 | 1,673 | 5,289 | 99 | 48 | 15 | 7,061 | 34 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 70.1% | 13,752 | 2,879 | 10,572 | 169 | 107 | 25 | 13,620 | 61 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 86.2% | 16,927 | 3,563 | 13,001 | 208 | 127 | 28 | 16,772 | 75 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 98.6% | 19,364 | 3,988 | 14,969 | 236 | 141 | 30 | 19,193 | 85 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 98.6% | 19,364 | 3,988 | 14,969 | 236 | 141 | 30 | 19,193 | 85 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 19,629 | 4,039 | 15,175 | 241 | 144 | 30 | 19,455 | 86 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex