NUNCHIA (CASANARE)
Municipio code 46560. 27 mesas total.
Rate of change (avance n − avance n-1) per series:
Logistic fit per series: y(t) = L / (1 + e^(-k(t - t_mid))), t = minutes since 16:00
| Series | Equation | L | k | t_mid (min) | R² |
|---|
| Total votes | y(t) = 4672.98922 / (1 + e^(-0.18321(t - 38.76355))) | 4672.98922 | 0.18321 | 38.76355 | 0.99590 |
| Cepeda | y(t) = 690.18635 / (1 + e^(-0.19520(t - 37.93352))) | 690.18635 | 0.19520 | 37.93352 | 0.99722 |
| Espriella | y(t) = 3920.11178 / (1 + e^(-0.18134(t - 38.92640))) | 3920.11178 | 0.18134 | 38.92640 | 0.99561 |
| Blancos | y(t) = 36.93734 / (1 + e^(-0.17112(t - 37.56610))) | 36.93734 | 0.17112 | 37.56610 | 0.99501 |
| Nulos | y(t) = 19.90083 / (1 + e^(-0.17436(t - 37.65927))) | 19.90083 | 0.17436 | 37.65927 | 0.99250 |
| No marcados | y(t) = 5.97145 / (1 + e^(-0.14902(t - 43.43440))) | 5.97145 | 0.14902 | 43.43440 | 0.98760 |
| Validos | y(t) = 4647.12388 / (1 + e^(-0.18331(t - 38.76247))) | 4647.12388 | 0.18331 | 38.76247 | 0.99590 |
| Mesas escrutadas | y(t) = 26.93178 / (1 + e^(-0.18537(t - 35.98933))) | 26.93178 | 0.18537 | 35.98933 | 0.99753 |
Full avance-by-avance data (67 points, 16:00 to 21:34):
| Avance | Time | % of final votes | Total votes | Cepeda | Espriella | Blancos | Nulos | No marcados | Validos | Mesas escrutadas |
|---|
| 0 | 16:00 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 16:09 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.1% | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 3 | 16:19 | 0.1% | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | 16:24 | 0.4% | 21 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 |
| 5 | 16:29 | 9.1% | 426 | 70 | 348 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 423 | 5 |
| 6 | 16:34 | 30.0% | 1,409 | 237 | 1,148 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1,400 | 11 |
| 7 | 16:39 | 58.9% | 2,762 | 421 | 2,303 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 2,748 | 19 |
| 8 | 16:44 | 70.4% | 3,299 | 504 | 2,752 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 3,281 | 21 |
| 9 | 16:49 | 83.5% | 3,913 | 603 | 3,257 | 31 | 18 | 4 | 3,891 | 24 |
| 10 | 16:54 | 89.0% | 4,174 | 637 | 3,480 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 4,151 | 25 |
| 11 | 16:59 | 94.0% | 4,408 | 664 | 3,685 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4,385 | 26 |
| 12 | 17:04 | 94.0% | 4,408 | 664 | 3,685 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4,385 | 26 |
| 13 | 17:09 | 94.0% | 4,408 | 664 | 3,685 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 4,385 | 26 |
| 14 | 17:14 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 15 | 17:19 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 16 | 17:24 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 17 | 17:29 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 18 | 17:34 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 19 | 17:39 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 20 | 17:44 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 21 | 17:49 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 22 | 17:54 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 23 | 17:59 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 24 | 18:04 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 25 | 18:09 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 26 | 18:14 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 27 | 18:19 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 28 | 18:24 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 29 | 18:29 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 30 | 18:34 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 31 | 18:39 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 32 | 18:44 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 33 | 18:49 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 34 | 18:54 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 35 | 18:59 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 36 | 19:04 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 37 | 19:09 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 38 | 19:14 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 39 | 19:19 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 40 | 19:24 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 41 | 19:29 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 42 | 19:34 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 43 | 19:39 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 44 | 19:44 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 45 | 19:49 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 46 | 19:54 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 47 | 19:59 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 48 | 20:04 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 49 | 20:09 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 50 | 20:14 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 51 | 20:19 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 52 | 20:24 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 53 | 20:29 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 54 | 20:34 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 55 | 20:39 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 56 | 20:44 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 57 | 20:49 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 58 | 20:54 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 59 | 20:59 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 60 | 21:04 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 61 | 21:09 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 62 | 21:14 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 63 | 21:19 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 64 | 21:24 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 65 | 21:29 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
| 66 | 21:34 | 100.0% | 4,689 | 692 | 3,934 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 4,663 | 27 |
collected by @onorosaurosrex